Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid's September 17 high will likely fall between 25–27°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. A shift to persistent northeasterly winds is advecting cooler, drier air from higher latitudes after an intense heatwave that produced 34–35°C readings on September 15. This pattern, combined with partly cloudy skies and moderate wind speeds of 8–14 km/h, limits daytime heating and keeps surface temperatures near the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.2°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on official AEMET observations at central stations such as Retiro Park.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日马德里气温最高？
9月17日马德里气温最高？
26°C 36%
27°C 33%
25°C 22%
28°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
22%
26°C
36%
27°C
33%
28°C
9%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C或更高
<1%
26°C 36%
27°C 33%
25°C 22%
28°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
21°C或以下
$278 交易量
<1%
22°C
$297 交易量
1%
23°C
$120 交易量
1%
24°C
$215 交易量
3%
25°C
$908 交易量
22%
26°C
$377 交易量
36%
27°C
$811 交易量
33%
28°C
$214 交易量
9%
29°C
$17 交易量
7%
30°C
$0 交易量
3%
31°C或更高
$57 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid's September 17 high will likely fall between 25–27°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. A shift to persistent northeasterly winds is advecting cooler, drier air from higher latitudes after an intense heatwave that produced 34–35°C readings on September 15. This pattern, combined with partly cloudy skies and moderate wind speeds of 8–14 km/h, limits daytime heating and keeps surface temperatures near the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.2°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on official AEMET observations at central stations such as Retiro Park.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$3,294结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid's September 17 high will likely fall between 25–27°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. A shift to persistent northeasterly winds is advecting cooler, drier air from higher latitudes after an intense heatwave that produced 34–35°C readings on September 15. This pattern, combined with partly cloudy skies and moderate wind speeds of 8–14 km/h, limits daytime heating and keeps surface temperatures near the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.2°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on official AEMET observations at central stations such as Retiro Park.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,294结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid's September 17 high will likely fall between 25–27°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. A shift to persistent northeasterly winds is advecting cooler, drier air from higher latitudes after an intense heatwave that produced 34–35°C readings on September 15. This pattern, combined with partly cloudy skies and moderate wind speeds of 8–14 km/h, limits daytime heating and keeps surface temperatures near the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.2°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on official AEMET observations at central stations such as Retiro Park.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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