Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the authoritative station for market resolution—recorded a high temperature of 64-65°F on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this bin amid negligible 0.1% odds for 66°F or higher. Persistent marine stratus clouds and gusty westerly winds (10-20 mph) from a cool Pacific air mass limited solar heating and adiabatic warming, aligning with climatological norms where May highs average 67°F but frequently stall in the low 60s under overcast conditions. This positioning reflects finalized automated surface observing system (ASOS) data, with model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System accurately previewing subdued temps 24-48 hours prior. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-processing revisions from quality control or discrepancies with backup downtown sensors, though KSFO data carries precedence; market awaits Wunderground's archived history for final confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 10?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 10?
64-65°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$50,792 交易量
$50,792 交易量
2026-05-10
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$50,792 交易量
$50,792 交易量
2026-05-10
47°F or below
$744 交易量
No
48-49°F
$572 交易量
No
50-51°F
$970 交易量
No
52-53°F
$578 交易量
No
54-55°F
$2,540 交易量
No
56-57°F
$5,333 交易量
No
58-59°F
$6,905 交易量
No
60-61°F
$6,114 交易量
No
62-63°F
$11,077 交易量
No
64-65°F
$8,625 交易量
Yes
66°F or higher
$7,335 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the authoritative station for market resolution—recorded a high temperature of 64-65°F on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this bin amid negligible 0.1% odds for 66°F or higher. Persistent marine stratus clouds and gusty westerly winds (10-20 mph) from a cool Pacific air mass limited solar heating and adiabatic warming, aligning with climatological norms where May highs average 67°F but frequently stall in the low 60s under overcast conditions. This positioning reflects finalized automated surface observing system (ASOS) data, with model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System accurately previewing subdued temps 24-48 hours prior. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-processing revisions from quality control or discrepancies with backup downtown sensors, though KSFO data carries precedence; market awaits Wunderground's archived history for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 8, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
交易量
$50,792结束日期
2026-05-10市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:20 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the authoritative station for market resolution—recorded a high temperature of 64-65°F on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this bin amid negligible 0.1% odds for 66°F or higher. Persistent marine stratus clouds and gusty westerly winds (10-20 mph) from a cool Pacific air mass limited solar heating and adiabatic warming, aligning with climatological norms where May highs average 67°F but frequently stall in the low 60s under overcast conditions. This positioning reflects finalized automated surface observing system (ASOS) data, with model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System accurately previewing subdued temps 24-48 hours prior. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-processing revisions from quality control or discrepancies with backup downtown sensors, though KSFO data carries precedence; market awaits Wunderground's archived history for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$50,792结束日期
2026-05-10市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:20 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the authoritative station for market resolution—recorded a high temperature of 64-65°F on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this bin amid negligible 0.1% odds for 66°F or higher. Persistent marine stratus clouds and gusty westerly winds (10-20 mph) from a cool Pacific air mass limited solar heating and adiabatic warming, aligning with climatological norms where May highs average 67°F but frequently stall in the low 60s under overcast conditions. This positioning reflects finalized automated surface observing system (ASOS) data, with model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System accurately previewing subdued temps 24-48 hours prior. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-processing revisions from quality control or discrepancies with backup downtown sensors, though KSFO data carries precedence; market awaits Wunderground's archived history for final confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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