Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 27°C (25.5%) and 28°C (24.0%) for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting the latest Climatempo forecast projecting a 28°C peak under mostly cloudy skies with zero rain probability, following recent persistent Southeast Brazil showers noted in INMET's outlook through April 6. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF analogs, where lingering post-frontal moisture and variable cloud cover could cap afternoon heating at 26-29°C, versus clearer intervals allowing urban heat island effects to push toward 30°C. Early April climatology averages 26-27°C highs; daily INMET updates expected by April 4 may shift odds amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月6日圣保罗的最高温度?
4月6日圣保罗的最高温度?
27°C 26%
28°C 25%
29°C 19%
26°C 16%
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
11%
26°C
16%
27°C
26%
28°C
25%
29°C
19%
30°C
7%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C或更高
2%
27°C 26%
28°C 25%
29°C 19%
26°C 16%
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
11%
26°C
16%
27°C
26%
28°C
25%
29°C
19%
30°C
7%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 27°C (25.5%) and 28°C (24.0%) for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting the latest Climatempo forecast projecting a 28°C peak under mostly cloudy skies with zero rain probability, following recent persistent Southeast Brazil showers noted in INMET's outlook through April 6. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF analogs, where lingering post-frontal moisture and variable cloud cover could cap afternoon heating at 26-29°C, versus clearer intervals allowing urban heat island effects to push toward 30°C. Early April climatology averages 26-27°C highs; daily INMET updates expected by April 4 may shift odds amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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