Official observations from Singapore's Meteorological Service at the Changi Climate Station—the reference site for daily records—confirm a peak temperature of 33°C mid-afternoon on May 10, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Inter-monsoon conditions with light winds and afternoon thundery showers triggered convective activity, capping solar heating before typical peak times (2-4 PM local), as shown in NEA real-time data and forecast models. Trader consensus aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment, given historical May highs averaging 31-33°C and minimal diurnal range in Singapore's tropical climate. A challenge would require improbable late-evening clear skies and renewed insolation post-sunset (around 7:07 PM SGT), with final NEA records expected by month's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡5月10日最高气温?
33°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$87,974 交易量
$87,974 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C或更高
否
33°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$87,974 交易量
$87,974 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from Singapore's Meteorological Service at the Changi Climate Station—the reference site for daily records—confirm a peak temperature of 33°C mid-afternoon on May 10, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Inter-monsoon conditions with light winds and afternoon thundery showers triggered convective activity, capping solar heating before typical peak times (2-4 PM local), as shown in NEA real-time data and forecast models. Trader consensus aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment, given historical May highs averaging 31-33°C and minimal diurnal range in Singapore's tropical climate. A challenge would require improbable late-evening clear skies and renewed insolation post-sunset (around 7:07 PM SGT), with final NEA records expected by month's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题