Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a weather system bringing rain and northerly flow to Chengdu on September 15, with expected daily minima clustered near 18–19°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. This setup creates tight uncertainty around the precise low, as small shifts in timing of precipitation, cloud cover, or boundary-layer mixing can alter surface temperatures by several degrees. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with nearly even odds on sub-14°C versus 24°C+ extremes highlighting divergence among ensemble members on whether stronger cold advection or persistent warm advection will dominate. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the minimum temperature guidance ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日成都最低气温？
9月15日成都最低气温？
24°C或更高 97%
15°C 36%
18°C 21%
19°C 21%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
14℃或以下
1%
15°C
36%
16°C
19%
17°C
19%
18°C
21%
19°C
21%
20℃
21%
21°C
19%
22°C
9%
23°C
17%
24°C或更高
97%
24°C或更高 97%
15°C 36%
18°C 21%
19°C 21%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
14℃或以下
$10 交易量
1%
15°C
$16 交易量
36%
16°C
$0 交易量
19%
17°C
$0 交易量
19%
18°C
$0 交易量
21%
19°C
$0 交易量
21%
20℃
$0 交易量
21%
21°C
$0 交易量
19%
22°C
$0 交易量
9%
23°C
$10 交易量
17%
24°C或更高
$10 交易量
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a weather system bringing rain and northerly flow to Chengdu on September 15, with expected daily minima clustered near 18–19°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. This setup creates tight uncertainty around the precise low, as small shifts in timing of precipitation, cloud cover, or boundary-layer mixing can alter surface temperatures by several degrees. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with nearly even odds on sub-14°C versus 24°C+ extremes highlighting divergence among ensemble members on whether stronger cold advection or persistent warm advection will dominate. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the minimum temperature guidance ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
交易量
$46结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a weather system bringing rain and northerly flow to Chengdu on September 15, with expected daily minima clustered near 18–19°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. This setup creates tight uncertainty around the precise low, as small shifts in timing of precipitation, cloud cover, or boundary-layer mixing can alter surface temperatures by several degrees. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with nearly even odds on sub-14°C versus 24°C+ extremes highlighting divergence among ensemble members on whether stronger cold advection or persistent warm advection will dominate. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the minimum temperature guidance ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$46结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a weather system bringing rain and northerly flow to Chengdu on September 15, with expected daily minima clustered near 18–19°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. This setup creates tight uncertainty around the precise low, as small shifts in timing of precipitation, cloud cover, or boundary-layer mixing can alter surface temperatures by several degrees. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with nearly even odds on sub-14°C versus 24°C+ extremes highlighting divergence among ensemble members on whether stronger cold advection or persistent warm advection will dominate. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the minimum temperature guidance ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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