Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and TravelChinaGuide indicate Shanghai's daily minimum on August 19 will likely fall between 25–27°C, consistent with typical subtropical monsoon conditions featuring high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling and an urban heat island effect elevating nighttime readings. Persistent summer warmth, with recent highs near 32–34°C and scattered thundershowers, has sustained elevated minimums without major cooling fronts or typhoon influences in the immediate forecast window. Model consensus and climatological baselines around 25–26°C support trader emphasis on 26–27°C outcomes, though slight upward shifts in implied probabilities reflect ongoing heat and limited variability expected over the next 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日上海最低气温?
27°C 56%
26°C 25%
28°C 15%
25°C 7%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
25%
27°C
56%
28°C
15%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C或更高
<1%
27°C 56%
26°C 25%
28°C 15%
25°C 7%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
25%
27°C
56%
28°C
15%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and TravelChinaGuide indicate Shanghai's daily minimum on August 19 will likely fall between 25–27°C, consistent with typical subtropical monsoon conditions featuring high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling and an urban heat island effect elevating nighttime readings. Persistent summer warmth, with recent highs near 32–34°C and scattered thundershowers, has sustained elevated minimums without major cooling fronts or typhoon influences in the immediate forecast window. Model consensus and climatological baselines around 25–26°C support trader emphasis on 26–27°C outcomes, though slight upward shifts in implied probabilities reflect ongoing heat and limited variability expected over the next 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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