Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models have converged on an overnight low of 19°C for Tokyo on June 17, supported by a stable subtropical high-pressure system, light southerly flow, and partly cloudy conditions that limit radiative cooling. This setup keeps minimum temperatures near or slightly above the mid-June climatological average of 17–19°C, with above-normal seasonal warmth from an expanded Pacific High reducing the potential for sharper nocturnal drops. Traders have priced this outcome at near-certainty because short-range guidance shows high consistency within a narrow 18–20°C band, though modest shifts in cloud cover, timing of any showers, or localized wind changes could still nudge the observed low by 1°C before final measurement at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日东京最低气温？
6月17日东京最低气温？
19°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$20,904 交易量
$20,904 交易量
2026-06-17
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
19°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$20,904 交易量
$20,904 交易量
2026-06-17
15°C或以下
$795 交易量
否
16°C
$3,031 交易量
否
17°C
$3,826 交易量
否
18°C
$2,313 交易量
否
19°C
$3,346 交易量
是
20°C
$4,662 交易量
否
21°C
$895 交易量
否
22°C
$636 交易量
否
23°C
$846 交易量
否
24°C
$387 交易量
否
25°C或更高
$167 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models have converged on an overnight low of 19°C for Tokyo on June 17, supported by a stable subtropical high-pressure system, light southerly flow, and partly cloudy conditions that limit radiative cooling. This setup keeps minimum temperatures near or slightly above the mid-June climatological average of 17–19°C, with above-normal seasonal warmth from an expanded Pacific High reducing the potential for sharper nocturnal drops. Traders have priced this outcome at near-certainty because short-range guidance shows high consistency within a narrow 18–20°C band, though modest shifts in cloud cover, timing of any showers, or localized wind changes could still nudge the observed low by 1°C before final measurement at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$20,904结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models have converged on an overnight low of 19°C for Tokyo on June 17, supported by a stable subtropical high-pressure system, light southerly flow, and partly cloudy conditions that limit radiative cooling. This setup keeps minimum temperatures near or slightly above the mid-June climatological average of 17–19°C, with above-normal seasonal warmth from an expanded Pacific High reducing the potential for sharper nocturnal drops. Traders have priced this outcome at near-certainty because short-range guidance shows high consistency within a narrow 18–20°C band, though modest shifts in cloud cover, timing of any showers, or localized wind changes could still nudge the observed low by 1°C before final measurement at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,904结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models have converged on an overnight low of 19°C for Tokyo on June 17, supported by a stable subtropical high-pressure system, light southerly flow, and partly cloudy conditions that limit radiative cooling. This setup keeps minimum temperatures near or slightly above the mid-June climatological average of 17–19°C, with above-normal seasonal warmth from an expanded Pacific High reducing the potential for sharper nocturnal drops. Traders have priced this outcome at near-certainty because short-range guidance shows high consistency within a narrow 18–20°C band, though modest shifts in cloud cover, timing of any showers, or localized wind changes could still nudge the observed low by 1°C before final measurement at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题