Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects steady global seismic activity, with USGS data showing three magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes in the past 30 days: a 7.5 off Tonga on March 24, 7.3 near Vanuatu on March 30, and 7.4 off Indonesia on April 1—the most recent 15 days ago. No events have occurred since, amid a year-to-date total of four M7+ quakes, aligning with the USGS historical average of 15-20 annually worldwide along active plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire. Seismic rates remain within normal variability, as earthquakes cannot be reliably forecasted short-term due to complex fault dynamics. Traders await real-time USGS catalog updates, with resolution hinging on any new M7.0+ event per official moment magnitude scale before the market deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Otro terremoto de 7.0 o más por...?
¿Otro terremoto de 7.0 o más por...?
$44,809 Vol.
30 abr 2026
15 de abril
<1%
30 de abril
37%
$44,809 Vol.
15 de abril
$21,048 Vol.
<1%
30 de abril
$12,396 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects steady global seismic activity, with USGS data showing three magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes in the past 30 days: a 7.5 off Tonga on March 24, 7.3 near Vanuatu on March 30, and 7.4 off Indonesia on April 1—the most recent 15 days ago. No events have occurred since, amid a year-to-date total of four M7+ quakes, aligning with the USGS historical average of 15-20 annually worldwide along active plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire. Seismic rates remain within normal variability, as earthquakes cannot be reliably forecasted short-term due to complex fault dynamics. Traders await real-time USGS catalog updates, with resolution hinging on any new M7.0+ event per official moment magnitude scale before the market deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Volumen
$44,809Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects steady global seismic activity, with USGS data showing three magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes in the past 30 days: a 7.5 off Tonga on March 24, 7.3 near Vanuatu on March 30, and 7.4 off Indonesia on April 1—the most recent 15 days ago. No events have occurred since, amid a year-to-date total of four M7+ quakes, aligning with the USGS historical average of 15-20 annually worldwide along active plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire. Seismic rates remain within normal variability, as earthquakes cannot be reliably forecasted short-term due to complex fault dynamics. Traders await real-time USGS catalog updates, with resolution hinging on any new M7.0+ event per official moment magnitude scale before the market deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volumen
$44,809Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects steady global seismic activity, with USGS data showing three magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes in the past 30 days: a 7.5 off Tonga on March 24, 7.3 near Vanuatu on March 30, and 7.4 off Indonesia on April 1—the most recent 15 days ago. No events have occurred since, amid a year-to-date total of four M7+ quakes, aligning with the USGS historical average of 15-20 annually worldwide along active plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire. Seismic rates remain within normal variability, as earthquakes cannot be reliably forecasted short-term due to complex fault dynamics. Traders await real-time USGS catalog updates, with resolution hinging on any new M7.0+ event per official moment magnitude scale before the market deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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