Latest KNMI short-range forecasts project a daytime maximum of 18°C at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's resolution station—under light southerly winds (force 3) and 50% sunshine alternating with thickening clouds from the west, potentially delivering 1 mm of light rain late afternoon. This aligns with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 18°C, reflecting advection of mild continental air beneath a persistent high-pressure ridge, yet trader consensus splits closely between 19°C (34%) and 18°C (31.5%) due to model spread: sunnier ensemble members allow greater insolation to push peaks toward 19–20°C, while coastal moderation and 30% precipitation odds favor 17–18°C. Above mid-April climatological norms (~13°C), outcomes hinge on real-time cloud breaks and diurnal heating as observations finalize tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 15?
18°C 34%
19°C 32%
17°C 14%
20°C 10.8%
$13,243 Vol.
$13,243 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
14%
18°C
34%
19°C
32%
20°C
11%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 34%
19°C 32%
17°C 14%
20°C 10.8%
$13,243 Vol.
$13,243 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
14%
18°C
34%
19°C
32%
20°C
11%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest KNMI short-range forecasts project a daytime maximum of 18°C at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's resolution station—under light southerly winds (force 3) and 50% sunshine alternating with thickening clouds from the west, potentially delivering 1 mm of light rain late afternoon. This aligns with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 18°C, reflecting advection of mild continental air beneath a persistent high-pressure ridge, yet trader consensus splits closely between 19°C (34%) and 18°C (31.5%) due to model spread: sunnier ensemble members allow greater insolation to push peaks toward 19–20°C, while coastal moderation and 30% precipitation odds favor 17–18°C. Above mid-April climatological norms (~13°C), outcomes hinge on real-time cloud breaks and diurnal heating as observations finalize tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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