Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 9°C (37.5%) and 10°C (32.5%) for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 12, reflecting uncertainty in the diurnal temperature profile amid an anomalous mid-spring cold outbreak. The Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a 10°C high with drizzle following today's 9°C maximum and sleet, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cold continental air over the Anatolian plateau. Differentiating factors include cloud cover evolution and shower timing during peak heating hours (noon-3pm), with ECMWF models favoring 9°C under overcast skies while GFS ensembles allow 10-11°C if partial clearing occurs. Hourly observations and evening forecast updates from MGM will resolve remaining ambiguity before market close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 12?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 12?
9°C 38%
10°C 33%
11°C 13%
8°C 10%
$11,871 Vol.
$11,871 Vol.
12 abr 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
3%
8°C
10%
9°C
38%
10°C
33%
11°C
13%
12°C
3%
13°C
1%
14°C or higher
1%
9°C 38%
10°C 33%
11°C 13%
8°C 10%
$11,871 Vol.
$11,871 Vol.
12 abr 2026
4°C or below
$1,171 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$818 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,057 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$1,008 Vol.
3%
8°C
$1,390 Vol.
10%
9°C
$761 Vol.
38%
10°C
$677 Vol.
33%
11°C
$1,300 Vol.
13%
12°C
$1,344 Vol.
3%
13°C
$1,119 Vol.
1%
14°C or higher
$1,248 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 9°C (37.5%) and 10°C (32.5%) for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 12, reflecting uncertainty in the diurnal temperature profile amid an anomalous mid-spring cold outbreak. The Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a 10°C high with drizzle following today's 9°C maximum and sleet, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cold continental air over the Anatolian plateau. Differentiating factors include cloud cover evolution and shower timing during peak heating hours (noon-3pm), with ECMWF models favoring 9°C under overcast skies while GFS ensembles allow 10-11°C if partial clearing occurs. Hourly observations and evening forecast updates from MGM will resolve remaining ambiguity before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$11,871Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 9°C (37.5%) and 10°C (32.5%) for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 12, reflecting uncertainty in the diurnal temperature profile amid an anomalous mid-spring cold outbreak. The Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a 10°C high with drizzle following today's 9°C maximum and sleet, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cold continental air over the Anatolian plateau. Differentiating factors include cloud cover evolution and shower timing during peak heating hours (noon-3pm), with ECMWF models favoring 9°C under overcast skies while GFS ensembles allow 10-11°C if partial clearing occurs. Hourly observations and evening forecast updates from MGM will resolve remaining ambiguity before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$11,871Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 9°C (37.5%) and 10°C (32.5%) for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 12, reflecting uncertainty in the diurnal temperature profile amid an anomalous mid-spring cold outbreak. The Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a 10°C high with drizzle following today's 9°C maximum and sleet, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cold continental air over the Anatolian plateau. Differentiating factors include cloud cover evolution and shower timing during peak heating hours (noon-3pm), with ECMWF models favoring 9°C under overcast skies while GFS ensembles allow 10-11°C if partial clearing occurs. Hourly observations and evening forecast updates from MGM will resolve remaining ambiguity before market close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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