Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show Ankara's highest temperature on April 13 clustering tightly around 11–13°C, driving trader consensus with market-implied odds favoring 12°C at 31%, 11°C at 27.5%, and 13°C at 20%. This reflects an ongoing cold trough over Eastern Europe advecting northerly winds and chillier air masses into central Turkey, compounded by persistent cloud cover limiting solar insolation and daytime warming—exacerbated by unseasonal snow flurries in Ankara on April 11. Key differentiators include model divergences on afternoon cloud breaks (favoring 13°C with clearer skies) versus sustained overcast and gusty winds (bolstering 11°C). New 12Z runs from NOAA's GFS, ECMWF, and Turkish State Meteorological Service updates today could refine probabilities amid typical 2–3°C short-range uncertainty, well below April's 17°C climatological average.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 13?
11°C 31%
12°C 28%
13°C 20%
10°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 abr 2026
9°C o menos
4%
10°C
7%
11°C
31%
12°C
28%
13°C
20%
14°C
4%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
11°C 31%
12°C 28%
13°C 20%
10°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 abr 2026
9°C o menos
$705 Vol.
4%
10°C
$426 Vol.
7%
11°C
$123 Vol.
31%
12°C
$204 Vol.
28%
13°C
$263 Vol.
20%
14°C
$631 Vol.
4%
15°C
$441 Vol.
2%
16°C
$280 Vol.
2%
17°C
$322 Vol.
1%
18°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$292 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show Ankara's highest temperature on April 13 clustering tightly around 11–13°C, driving trader consensus with market-implied odds favoring 12°C at 31%, 11°C at 27.5%, and 13°C at 20%. This reflects an ongoing cold trough over Eastern Europe advecting northerly winds and chillier air masses into central Turkey, compounded by persistent cloud cover limiting solar insolation and daytime warming—exacerbated by unseasonal snow flurries in Ankara on April 11. Key differentiators include model divergences on afternoon cloud breaks (favoring 13°C with clearer skies) versus sustained overcast and gusty winds (bolstering 11°C). New 12Z runs from NOAA's GFS, ECMWF, and Turkish State Meteorological Service updates today could refine probabilities amid typical 2–3°C short-range uncertainty, well below April's 17°C climatological average.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$4,012Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show Ankara's highest temperature on April 13 clustering tightly around 11–13°C, driving trader consensus with market-implied odds favoring 12°C at 31%, 11°C at 27.5%, and 13°C at 20%. This reflects an ongoing cold trough over Eastern Europe advecting northerly winds and chillier air masses into central Turkey, compounded by persistent cloud cover limiting solar insolation and daytime warming—exacerbated by unseasonal snow flurries in Ankara on April 11. Key differentiators include model divergences on afternoon cloud breaks (favoring 13°C with clearer skies) versus sustained overcast and gusty winds (bolstering 11°C). New 12Z runs from NOAA's GFS, ECMWF, and Turkish State Meteorological Service updates today could refine probabilities amid typical 2–3°C short-range uncertainty, well below April's 17°C climatological average.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,012Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show Ankara's highest temperature on April 13 clustering tightly around 11–13°C, driving trader consensus with market-implied odds favoring 12°C at 31%, 11°C at 27.5%, and 13°C at 20%. This reflects an ongoing cold trough over Eastern Europe advecting northerly winds and chillier air masses into central Turkey, compounded by persistent cloud cover limiting solar insolation and daytime warming—exacerbated by unseasonal snow flurries in Ankara on April 11. Key differentiators include model divergences on afternoon cloud breaks (favoring 13°C with clearer skies) versus sustained overcast and gusty winds (bolstering 11°C). New 12Z runs from NOAA's GFS, ECMWF, and Turkish State Meteorological Service updates today could refine probabilities amid typical 2–3°C short-range uncertainty, well below April's 17°C climatological average.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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