Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and AccuWeather forecasts project a high temperature of 23–25°C in Buenos Aires on April 17 under partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds and low precipitation risk, driving trader consensus toward tightly clustered market-implied probabilities for 24°C (30%), 25°C (26%), and 26°C (21.5%). This spread reflects ensemble model uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover timing and sea breeze intensification from the Río de la Plata, which could limit insolation and peak heating or permit slight overruns above 25°C. April climatology averages 21–22°C highs amid neutral ENSO conditions, with recent days trending 1–2°C warmer; resolution hinges on observations at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, with overnight SMN updates potentially refining odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
24°C 29%
25°C 29%
26°C 22%
23°C 12%
$21,427 Vol.
$21,427 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
12%
24°C
29%
25°C
29%
26°C
22%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 29%
25°C 29%
26°C 22%
23°C 12%
$21,427 Vol.
$21,427 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
12%
24°C
29%
25°C
29%
26°C
22%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and AccuWeather forecasts project a high temperature of 23–25°C in Buenos Aires on April 17 under partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds and low precipitation risk, driving trader consensus toward tightly clustered market-implied probabilities for 24°C (30%), 25°C (26%), and 26°C (21.5%). This spread reflects ensemble model uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover timing and sea breeze intensification from the Río de la Plata, which could limit insolation and peak heating or permit slight overruns above 25°C. April climatology averages 21–22°C highs amid neutral ENSO conditions, with recent days trending 1–2°C warmer; resolution hinges on observations at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, with overnight SMN updates potentially refining odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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