Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 39°C (41%) and 40°C (43.5%) for Lucknow's highest temperature today, reflecting tight uncertainty in India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecast models amid clear skies and building pre-monsoon heat. Current observations show morning temperatures rising steadily under high pressure subsidence, low soil moisture from winter dryness, and urban heat island effects amplifying afternoon peaks in this densely populated city. Ensemble model runs diverge slightly on peak solar insolation and light westerly winds (10-15 km/h), which could cap heating at 39°C or push to 40°C; historical April 15 averages hover near 38.5°C, but recent days hit 38°C yesterday. Official IMD hourly updates and end-of-day validation will resolve this, with haze potentially muting extremes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 15?
40°C 44%
39°C 42%
41°C 9%
38°C 7.4%
NUEVO
$37,063 Vol.
NUEVO
$37,063 Vol.
15 abr 2026
37°C or below
1%
38°C
7%
39°C
42%
40°C
44%
41°C
9%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C or higher
<1%
40°C 44%
39°C 42%
41°C 9%
38°C 7.4%
NUEVO
$37,063 Vol.
NUEVO
$37,063 Vol.
15 abr 2026
37°C or below
$6,071 Vol.
1%
38°C
$5,613 Vol.
7%
39°C
$2,444 Vol.
42%
40°C
$4,720 Vol.
44%
41°C
$4,939 Vol.
9%
42°C
$3,214 Vol.
1%
43°C
$1,661 Vol.
1%
44°C
$2,043 Vol.
<1%
45°C
$1,773 Vol.
<1%
46°C
$687 Vol.
<1%
47°C or higher
$3,913 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 39°C (41%) and 40°C (43.5%) for Lucknow's highest temperature today, reflecting tight uncertainty in India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecast models amid clear skies and building pre-monsoon heat. Current observations show morning temperatures rising steadily under high pressure subsidence, low soil moisture from winter dryness, and urban heat island effects amplifying afternoon peaks in this densely populated city. Ensemble model runs diverge slightly on peak solar insolation and light westerly winds (10-15 km/h), which could cap heating at 39°C or push to 40°C; historical April 15 averages hover near 38.5°C, but recent days hit 38°C yesterday. Official IMD hourly updates and end-of-day validation will resolve this, with haze potentially muting extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$37,063Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 39°C (41%) and 40°C (43.5%) for Lucknow's highest temperature today, reflecting tight uncertainty in India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecast models amid clear skies and building pre-monsoon heat. Current observations show morning temperatures rising steadily under high pressure subsidence, low soil moisture from winter dryness, and urban heat island effects amplifying afternoon peaks in this densely populated city. Ensemble model runs diverge slightly on peak solar insolation and light westerly winds (10-15 km/h), which could cap heating at 39°C or push to 40°C; historical April 15 averages hover near 38.5°C, but recent days hit 38°C yesterday. Official IMD hourly updates and end-of-day validation will resolve this, with haze potentially muting extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$37,063Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 39°C (41%) and 40°C (43.5%) for Lucknow's highest temperature today, reflecting tight uncertainty in India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecast models amid clear skies and building pre-monsoon heat. Current observations show morning temperatures rising steadily under high pressure subsidence, low soil moisture from winter dryness, and urban heat island effects amplifying afternoon peaks in this densely populated city. Ensemble model runs diverge slightly on peak solar insolation and light westerly winds (10-15 km/h), which could cap heating at 39°C or push to 40°C; historical April 15 averages hover near 38.5°C, but recent days hit 38°C yesterday. Official IMD hourly updates and end-of-day validation will resolve this, with haze potentially muting extremes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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