Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF, which project New York City Central Park highs of 77-81°F on April 17 amid a strengthening upper-level ridge fostering southerly winds and above-normal temperatures (April climatological average ~62°F). The 33.5% implied probabilities for both 77°F or below and 78-79°F stem from model spread: warmer GFS runs suggest better boundary layer mixing for 80°F+, while ECMWF hints at possible afternoon cloudiness or sea breeze development capping peaks lower. Recent observations today already hit 82°F under mostly sunny skies, but subtle differences in 850 mb temperatures and convective timing differentiate bins; watch evening forecast discussions for refinements ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 17 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 17 de abril?
77°F o menos 42%
78-79°F 32%
80-81°F 17%
82-83°F 8%
NUEVO
$30,909 Vol.
NUEVO
$30,909 Vol.
17 abr 2026
77°F o menos
42%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F o más
<1%
77°F o menos 42%
78-79°F 32%
80-81°F 17%
82-83°F 8%
NUEVO
$30,909 Vol.
NUEVO
$30,909 Vol.
17 abr 2026
77°F o menos
$5,033 Vol.
42%
78-79°F
$2,793 Vol.
32%
80-81°F
$1,739 Vol.
17%
82-83°F
$1,585 Vol.
8%
84-85°F
$2,377 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$2,117 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$5,051 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$1,512 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$2,375 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$3,127 Vol.
<1%
96°F o más
$3,506 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF, which project New York City Central Park highs of 77-81°F on April 17 amid a strengthening upper-level ridge fostering southerly winds and above-normal temperatures (April climatological average ~62°F). The 33.5% implied probabilities for both 77°F or below and 78-79°F stem from model spread: warmer GFS runs suggest better boundary layer mixing for 80°F+, while ECMWF hints at possible afternoon cloudiness or sea breeze development capping peaks lower. Recent observations today already hit 82°F under mostly sunny skies, but subtle differences in 850 mb temperatures and convective timing differentiate bins; watch evening forecast discussions for refinements ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$30,909Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF, which project New York City Central Park highs of 77-81°F on April 17 amid a strengthening upper-level ridge fostering southerly winds and above-normal temperatures (April climatological average ~62°F). The 33.5% implied probabilities for both 77°F or below and 78-79°F stem from model spread: warmer GFS runs suggest better boundary layer mixing for 80°F+, while ECMWF hints at possible afternoon cloudiness or sea breeze development capping peaks lower. Recent observations today already hit 82°F under mostly sunny skies, but subtle differences in 850 mb temperatures and convective timing differentiate bins; watch evening forecast discussions for refinements ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$30,909Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF, which project New York City Central Park highs of 77-81°F on April 17 amid a strengthening upper-level ridge fostering southerly winds and above-normal temperatures (April climatological average ~62°F). The 33.5% implied probabilities for both 77°F or below and 78-79°F stem from model spread: warmer GFS runs suggest better boundary layer mixing for 80°F+, while ECMWF hints at possible afternoon cloudiness or sea breeze development capping peaks lower. Recent observations today already hit 82°F under mostly sunny skies, but subtle differences in 850 mb temperatures and convective timing differentiate bins; watch evening forecast discussions for refinements ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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