Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast projects a 20°C maximum temperature for Seoul on April 17 amid mostly clear skies and light winds, anchoring trader sentiment at 71.5% implied probability for 18°C or higher while pricing 17°C at 22%. This reflects an ongoing early-spring warm anomaly, with recent highs reaching 23°C on April 16—well above the typical mid-April average of 17-18°C—driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge advecting mild continental air. Ensemble forecast models show consensus for above-normal warmth but with 2-3°C uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud development or shear. KMA's next update, due within hours, and official station observations will sharpen resolution ahead of tomorrow's close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 17 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 17 de abril?
18°C o más 73%
17°C 21%
16°C 8%
15°C 1.8%
$102,106 Vol.
$102,106 Vol.
8°C o menos
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
8%
17°C
21%
18°C o más
73%
18°C o más 73%
17°C 21%
16°C 8%
15°C 1.8%
$102,106 Vol.
$102,106 Vol.
8°C o menos
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
8%
17°C
21%
18°C o más
73%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast projects a 20°C maximum temperature for Seoul on April 17 amid mostly clear skies and light winds, anchoring trader sentiment at 71.5% implied probability for 18°C or higher while pricing 17°C at 22%. This reflects an ongoing early-spring warm anomaly, with recent highs reaching 23°C on April 16—well above the typical mid-April average of 17-18°C—driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge advecting mild continental air. Ensemble forecast models show consensus for above-normal warmth but with 2-3°C uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud development or shear. KMA's next update, due within hours, and official station observations will sharpen resolution ahead of tomorrow's close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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