Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight consensus for Shanghai's April 17 high temperature clustering around 20–21°C at Pudong International Airport station, fueling trader sentiment with 20°C holding a 35.5% implied probability over 21°C at 30.0%. This positioning reflects minor ensemble spread amid overcast skies capping solar insolation, mild southerly winds, and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze Delta, where mid-April climatology averages 19–20°C highs. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon clearing boosting 21–22°C odds versus persistent cloud cover favoring 19–20°C; spring frontal timing adds uncertainty. Watch CMA's April 16 evening update and real-time observations for shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 17 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 17 de abril?
20°C 35%
21°C 28%
19°C 18%
22°C 12.4%
NUEVO
$35,303 Vol.
NUEVO
$35,303 Vol.
17 abr 2026
13°C o menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
18%
20°C
35%
21°C
28%
22°C
12%
23°C o más
2%
20°C 35%
21°C 28%
19°C 18%
22°C 12.4%
NUEVO
$35,303 Vol.
NUEVO
$35,303 Vol.
17 abr 2026
13°C o menos
$3,783 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,022 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$7,687 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,185 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,955 Vol.
1%
18°C
$3,947 Vol.
3%
19°C
$2,029 Vol.
18%
20°C
$2,223 Vol.
35%
21°C
$1,885 Vol.
28%
22°C
$2,594 Vol.
12%
23°C o más
$3,104 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight consensus for Shanghai's April 17 high temperature clustering around 20–21°C at Pudong International Airport station, fueling trader sentiment with 20°C holding a 35.5% implied probability over 21°C at 30.0%. This positioning reflects minor ensemble spread amid overcast skies capping solar insolation, mild southerly winds, and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze Delta, where mid-April climatology averages 19–20°C highs. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon clearing boosting 21–22°C odds versus persistent cloud cover favoring 19–20°C; spring frontal timing adds uncertainty. Watch CMA's April 16 evening update and real-time observations for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$35,303Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight consensus for Shanghai's April 17 high temperature clustering around 20–21°C at Pudong International Airport station, fueling trader sentiment with 20°C holding a 35.5% implied probability over 21°C at 30.0%. This positioning reflects minor ensemble spread amid overcast skies capping solar insolation, mild southerly winds, and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze Delta, where mid-April climatology averages 19–20°C highs. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon clearing boosting 21–22°C odds versus persistent cloud cover favoring 19–20°C; spring frontal timing adds uncertainty. Watch CMA's April 16 evening update and real-time observations for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$35,303Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight consensus for Shanghai's April 17 high temperature clustering around 20–21°C at Pudong International Airport station, fueling trader sentiment with 20°C holding a 35.5% implied probability over 21°C at 30.0%. This positioning reflects minor ensemble spread amid overcast skies capping solar insolation, mild southerly winds, and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze Delta, where mid-April climatology averages 19–20°C highs. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon clearing boosting 21–22°C odds versus persistent cloud cover favoring 19–20°C; spring frontal timing adds uncertainty. Watch CMA's April 16 evening update and real-time observations for shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes