Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 26-27°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 17, driving the tight trader split between those outcomes at 29.5% and 31.0% implied probabilities. Persistent partial cloud cover, around 70-80% per recent runs, limits solar insolation and peak heating, while light westerly winds and low precipitation risk (under 5%) support mild spring conditions above the mid-April climatological average of 23°C. Differentiating factors include ECMWF's slightly warmer bias from potential afternoon sun breaks versus GFS cooler projections under thicker overcast; final 00Z/12Z updates overnight could tip the balance before observations resolve the market. Historical analogs show 1-2°C model spreads common in transitional April weather patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
27°C 32%
26°C 29%
28°C 20%
25°C 12%
NUEVO
$10,780 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,780 Vol.
17 abr 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
12%
26°C
29%
27°C
32%
28°C
20%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 32%
26°C 29%
28°C 20%
25°C 12%
NUEVO
$10,780 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,780 Vol.
17 abr 2026
23°C or below
$1,664 Vol.
1%
24°C
$661 Vol.
5%
25°C
$308 Vol.
12%
26°C
$290 Vol.
29%
27°C
$520 Vol.
32%
28°C
$261 Vol.
20%
29°C
$573 Vol.
7%
30°C
$772 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,832 Vol.
1%
32°C
$749 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$3,316 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 26-27°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 17, driving the tight trader split between those outcomes at 29.5% and 31.0% implied probabilities. Persistent partial cloud cover, around 70-80% per recent runs, limits solar insolation and peak heating, while light westerly winds and low precipitation risk (under 5%) support mild spring conditions above the mid-April climatological average of 23°C. Differentiating factors include ECMWF's slightly warmer bias from potential afternoon sun breaks versus GFS cooler projections under thicker overcast; final 00Z/12Z updates overnight could tip the balance before observations resolve the market. Historical analogs show 1-2°C model spreads common in transitional April weather patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$10,780Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 26-27°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 17, driving the tight trader split between those outcomes at 29.5% and 31.0% implied probabilities. Persistent partial cloud cover, around 70-80% per recent runs, limits solar insolation and peak heating, while light westerly winds and low precipitation risk (under 5%) support mild spring conditions above the mid-April climatological average of 23°C. Differentiating factors include ECMWF's slightly warmer bias from potential afternoon sun breaks versus GFS cooler projections under thicker overcast; final 00Z/12Z updates overnight could tip the balance before observations resolve the market. Historical analogs show 1-2°C model spreads common in transitional April weather patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$10,780Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 26-27°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 17, driving the tight trader split between those outcomes at 29.5% and 31.0% implied probabilities. Persistent partial cloud cover, around 70-80% per recent runs, limits solar insolation and peak heating, while light westerly winds and low precipitation risk (under 5%) support mild spring conditions above the mid-April climatological average of 23°C. Differentiating factors include ECMWF's slightly warmer bias from potential afternoon sun breaks versus GFS cooler projections under thicker overcast; final 00Z/12Z updates overnight could tip the balance before observations resolve the market. Historical analogs show 1-2°C model spreads common in transitional April weather patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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