USGS data records five global earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater from April 13 through April 16, including a 6.1 and 5.5 near the Northern Mariana Islands, a 5.7 offshore Costa Rica, a 5.7 near Silver Springs, Nevada, and a 5.5 near Tonga—elevating the pace to about 1.4 per day amid Ring of Fire activity and an unusual U.S. interior event near a volcanic field. This outpaces the typical weekly baseline of 8-12 events (up to 20 in peaks), positioning trader consensus at 37% implied probability for over nine total by April 19, with 8 and 9 each at 18%, as the remaining three-plus days could add four to six more at current rates. Seismic rates remain inherently unpredictable without reliable short-term forecasts, but daily USGS catalog updates will refine counts through resolution based on final reviewed magnitudes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos terremotos de 5.5 o más del 13 al 19 de abril?
¿Cuántos terremotos de 5.5 o más del 13 al 19 de abril?
>9 34%
8 18%
9 15%
7 15%
$112,193 Vol.
$112,193 Vol.
19 abr 2026
≤3
<1%
4
2%
5
6%
6
10%
7
15%
8
18%
9
15%
>9
34%
>9 34%
8 18%
9 15%
7 15%
$112,193 Vol.
$112,193 Vol.
19 abr 2026
≤3
$73,114 Vol.
<1%
4
$7,418 Vol.
2%
5
$3,141 Vol.
6%
6
$1,400 Vol.
10%
7
$1,968 Vol.
15%
8
$2,846 Vol.
18%
9
$1,740 Vol.
15%
>9
$20,577 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS data records five global earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater from April 13 through April 16, including a 6.1 and 5.5 near the Northern Mariana Islands, a 5.7 offshore Costa Rica, a 5.7 near Silver Springs, Nevada, and a 5.5 near Tonga—elevating the pace to about 1.4 per day amid Ring of Fire activity and an unusual U.S. interior event near a volcanic field. This outpaces the typical weekly baseline of 8-12 events (up to 20 in peaks), positioning trader consensus at 37% implied probability for over nine total by April 19, with 8 and 9 each at 18%, as the remaining three-plus days could add four to six more at current rates. Seismic rates remain inherently unpredictable without reliable short-term forecasts, but daily USGS catalog updates will refine counts through resolution based on final reviewed magnitudes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Mercado abierto: Apr 10, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Volumen
$112,193Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS data records five global earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater from April 13 through April 16, including a 6.1 and 5.5 near the Northern Mariana Islands, a 5.7 offshore Costa Rica, a 5.7 near Silver Springs, Nevada, and a 5.5 near Tonga—elevating the pace to about 1.4 per day amid Ring of Fire activity and an unusual U.S. interior event near a volcanic field. This outpaces the typical weekly baseline of 8-12 events (up to 20 in peaks), positioning trader consensus at 37% implied probability for over nine total by April 19, with 8 and 9 each at 18%, as the remaining three-plus days could add four to six more at current rates. Seismic rates remain inherently unpredictable without reliable short-term forecasts, but daily USGS catalog updates will refine counts through resolution based on final reviewed magnitudes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volumen
$112,193Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...USGS data records five global earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater from April 13 through April 16, including a 6.1 and 5.5 near the Northern Mariana Islands, a 5.7 offshore Costa Rica, a 5.7 near Silver Springs, Nevada, and a 5.5 near Tonga—elevating the pace to about 1.4 per day amid Ring of Fire activity and an unusual U.S. interior event near a volcanic field. This outpaces the typical weekly baseline of 8-12 events (up to 20 in peaks), positioning trader consensus at 37% implied probability for over nine total by April 19, with 8 and 9 each at 18%, as the remaining three-plus days could add four to six more at current rates. Seismic rates remain inherently unpredictable without reliable short-term forecasts, but daily USGS catalog updates will refine counts through resolution based on final reviewed magnitudes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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