Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (35.5%) and 25°C (32.5%) as Buenos Aires' highest temperature tomorrow, reflecting forecast model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF showing a tight spread around these values amid a mild autumn pattern. Early April's record high minimums near 24°C have locked in persistent warm air advection from subtropical highs, pushing above the climatological April average of 22–23°C, while coastal sea breeze timing and variable low-level cloud cover create the key uncertainty differentiating the outcomes—less cloudiness favors 25°C via enhanced insolation, per recent runs. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and evening model refreshes could refine this before resolution based on official Aeroparque observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 12?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 12?
24°C 36%
25°C 32%
26°C 18%
23°C 11%
$16,311 Vol.
$16,311 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
36%
25°C
32%
26°C
18%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 36%
25°C 32%
26°C 18%
23°C 11%
$16,311 Vol.
$16,311 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
36%
25°C
32%
26°C
18%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (35.5%) and 25°C (32.5%) as Buenos Aires' highest temperature tomorrow, reflecting forecast model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF showing a tight spread around these values amid a mild autumn pattern. Early April's record high minimums near 24°C have locked in persistent warm air advection from subtropical highs, pushing above the climatological April average of 22–23°C, while coastal sea breeze timing and variable low-level cloud cover create the key uncertainty differentiating the outcomes—less cloudiness favors 25°C via enhanced insolation, per recent runs. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and evening model refreshes could refine this before resolution based on official Aeroparque observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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