Current forecasts from models and agencies point to a daily maximum near 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 5, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability for that outcome. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the city typically sees August highs averaging 15–17°C, driven by moderating Atlantic influences and occasional frontal systems that limit extremes. Recent model runs and short-range guidance show stable, mild conditions with light northerly flow and minimal cold-air advection, keeping the ceiling near 17°C while supporting a floor around 15°C. Historical climatology indicates only rare deviations above 18°C or below 14°C this early in the month, reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 15–17°C band ahead of final observational confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 5?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 5?
16°C 59%
15°C 27%
17°C 12%
14°C 1.0%
NEW
$18,507 Vol.
NEW
$18,507 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
27%
16°C
59%
17°C
12%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 59%
15°C 27%
17°C 12%
14°C 1.0%
NEW
$18,507 Vol.
NEW
$18,507 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
11°C or below
$285 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$674 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$501 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$918 Vol.
1%
15°C
$3,311 Vol.
27%
16°C
$6,610 Vol.
59%
17°C
$2,984 Vol.
12%
18°C
$1,369 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,000 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$557 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$298 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models and agencies point to a daily maximum near 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 5, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability for that outcome. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the city typically sees August highs averaging 15–17°C, driven by moderating Atlantic influences and occasional frontal systems that limit extremes. Recent model runs and short-range guidance show stable, mild conditions with light northerly flow and minimal cold-air advection, keeping the ceiling near 17°C while supporting a floor around 15°C. Historical climatology indicates only rare deviations above 18°C or below 14°C this early in the month, reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 15–17°C band ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$18,507End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models and agencies point to a daily maximum near 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 5, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability for that outcome. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the city typically sees August highs averaging 15–17°C, driven by moderating Atlantic influences and occasional frontal systems that limit extremes. Recent model runs and short-range guidance show stable, mild conditions with light northerly flow and minimal cold-air advection, keeping the ceiling near 17°C while supporting a floor around 15°C. Historical climatology indicates only rare deviations above 18°C or below 14°C this early in the month, reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 15–17°C band ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,507End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models and agencies point to a daily maximum near 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 5, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability for that outcome. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the city typically sees August highs averaging 15–17°C, driven by moderating Atlantic influences and occasional frontal systems that limit extremes. Recent model runs and short-range guidance show stable, mild conditions with light northerly flow and minimal cold-air advection, keeping the ceiling near 17°C while supporting a floor around 15°C. Historical climatology indicates only rare deviations above 18°C or below 14°C this early in the month, reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 15–17°C band ahead of final observational confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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