Recent numerical weather prediction models from authoritative monitoring agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 31°C in Chongqing on June 5 under early-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with moderate high-pressure influence and limited daytime heating. This consensus drives the market-implied odds, reflecting traders' assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and observational data aligning precisely with that threshold. Historical June averages for the region hover near 29–30°C, providing context for the moderate outcome. While model agreement is strong, scenarios such as unexpected convective development or revised station measurements could introduce minor uncertainty before final resolution, though current conditions make significant deviations unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 5?
31°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$46,180 Vol.
$46,180 Vol.
30°C or below
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$46,180 Vol.
$46,180 Vol.
30°C or below
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent numerical weather prediction models from authoritative monitoring agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 31°C in Chongqing on June 5 under early-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with moderate high-pressure influence and limited daytime heating. This consensus drives the market-implied odds, reflecting traders' assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and observational data aligning precisely with that threshold. Historical June averages for the region hover near 29–30°C, providing context for the moderate outcome. While model agreement is strong, scenarios such as unexpected convective development or revised station measurements could introduce minor uncertainty before final resolution, though current conditions make significant deviations unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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