National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high temperature near 80°F on April 12 under mostly cloudy skies with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, driving the market-implied 97.3% probability for 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong alignment across NOAA model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF. Southerly winds from an upper-level ridge will maintain above-normal temperatures consistent with mid-April climatology, where daily highs average 79°F; recent observations show continuity from April 11 highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective suppression or a late cold front, though current guidance shows low likelihood, with final resolution pending official observations from Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on April 12?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 12?
74°F or higher 97.3%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$16,541 Vol.
$16,541 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
97%
74°F or higher 97.3%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$16,541 Vol.
$16,541 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
55°F or below
$1,343 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,756 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,319 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,363 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,236 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,298 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,246 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,143 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$928 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,203 Vol.
1%
74°F or higher
$2,726 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high temperature near 80°F on April 12 under mostly cloudy skies with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, driving the market-implied 97.3% probability for 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong alignment across NOAA model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF. Southerly winds from an upper-level ridge will maintain above-normal temperatures consistent with mid-April climatology, where daily highs average 79°F; recent observations show continuity from April 11 highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective suppression or a late cold front, though current guidance shows low likelihood, with final resolution pending official observations from Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volume
$16,541End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high temperature near 80°F on April 12 under mostly cloudy skies with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, driving the market-implied 97.3% probability for 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong alignment across NOAA model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF. Southerly winds from an upper-level ridge will maintain above-normal temperatures consistent with mid-April climatology, where daily highs average 79°F; recent observations show continuity from April 11 highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective suppression or a late cold front, though current guidance shows low likelihood, with final resolution pending official observations from Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,541End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high temperature near 80°F on April 12 under mostly cloudy skies with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, driving the market-implied 97.3% probability for 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong alignment across NOAA model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF. Southerly winds from an upper-level ridge will maintain above-normal temperatures consistent with mid-April climatology, where daily highs average 79°F; recent observations show continuity from April 11 highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective suppression or a late cold front, though current guidance shows low likelihood, with final resolution pending official observations from Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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