Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime high in Jinan on August 8 well above 26°C, typically in the 31–35°C range amid ongoing summer heat. This aligns with historical August climatology for Shandong province, where average highs reach 31°C and heat waves with maxima exceeding 35°C are common under subtropical high-pressure influence. Recent high-temperature warnings and observed readings near 38°C in early August reinforce the pattern, driving the 97.1% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. An unexpected shift in steering patterns or a stronger cold front could lower readings, though current ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such cooling before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on August 8?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 8?
26°C or higher 97.1%
24°C 1.1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
97%
26°C or higher 97.1%
24°C 1.1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
16°C or below
$128 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$128 Vol.
1%
19°C
$96 Vol.
1%
20°C
$128 Vol.
1%
21°C
$129 Vol.
1%
22°C
$116 Vol.
1%
23°C
$327 Vol.
1%
24°C
$123 Vol.
1%
25°C
$148 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$426 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime high in Jinan on August 8 well above 26°C, typically in the 31–35°C range amid ongoing summer heat. This aligns with historical August climatology for Shandong province, where average highs reach 31°C and heat waves with maxima exceeding 35°C are common under subtropical high-pressure influence. Recent high-temperature warnings and observed readings near 38°C in early August reinforce the pattern, driving the 97.1% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. An unexpected shift in steering patterns or a stronger cold front could lower readings, though current ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,870End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime high in Jinan on August 8 well above 26°C, typically in the 31–35°C range amid ongoing summer heat. This aligns with historical August climatology for Shandong province, where average highs reach 31°C and heat waves with maxima exceeding 35°C are common under subtropical high-pressure influence. Recent high-temperature warnings and observed readings near 38°C in early August reinforce the pattern, driving the 97.1% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. An unexpected shift in steering patterns or a stronger cold front could lower readings, though current ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,870End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime high in Jinan on August 8 well above 26°C, typically in the 31–35°C range amid ongoing summer heat. This aligns with historical August climatology for Shandong province, where average highs reach 31°C and heat waves with maxima exceeding 35°C are common under subtropical high-pressure influence. Recent high-temperature warnings and observed readings near 38°C in early August reinforce the pattern, driving the 97.1% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. An unexpected shift in steering patterns or a stronger cold front could lower readings, though current ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such cooling before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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