Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 64-65°F (45%) for Los Angeles on April 12, driven by National Weather Service guidance highlighting a persistent marine layer—low stratus clouds advected from cooler Pacific waters under a strong low-level temperature inversion around 2,200 feet. This setup, deepened over the past week following a heatwave breakdown around April 8, has suppressed recent highs, with LAX observations topping near 65°F on April 10 amid widespread coastal clouds. Forecast models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus for limited burn-off, low sun angles, and light onshore winds maintaining below-normal temperatures (historical April average ~72°F). New NWS updates and real-time observations today could refine probabilities as cloud evolution remains uncertain.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 12?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 12?
64-65°F 42%
62-63°F 27%
66-67°F 23%
68-69°F 5.3%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
42%
66-67°F
23%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 42%
62-63°F 27%
66-67°F 23%
68-69°F 5.3%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
42%
66-67°F
23%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 64-65°F (45%) for Los Angeles on April 12, driven by National Weather Service guidance highlighting a persistent marine layer—low stratus clouds advected from cooler Pacific waters under a strong low-level temperature inversion around 2,200 feet. This setup, deepened over the past week following a heatwave breakdown around April 8, has suppressed recent highs, with LAX observations topping near 65°F on April 10 amid widespread coastal clouds. Forecast models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus for limited burn-off, low sun angles, and light onshore winds maintaining below-normal temperatures (historical April average ~72°F). New NWS updates and real-time observations today could refine probabilities as cloud evolution remains uncertain.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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