Traders have overwhelmingly converged on 30°C as Manila’s highest temperature for June 6, reflecting PAGASA’s official forecasts of highs near 29–32°C under the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity typical of early June suppress peak heating, keeping values aligned with the 30°C mark observed in recent model runs and station data. This positioning draws on climatological baselines of 31–32°C averages tempered by current atmospheric conditions that limit solar insolation. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing of monsoon clouds or an unforecasted ridge of high pressure boosting insolation enough to push readings to 33°C or above before evening observations close the market window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on June 6?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 6?
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$52,842 Vol.
$52,842 Vol.
Jun 6, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$52,842 Vol.
$52,842 Vol.
Jun 6, 2026
27°C or below
$8,608 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,571 Vol.
No
29°C
$6,539 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,923 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$3,735 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,442 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,172 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,010 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,099 Vol.
No
36°C
$5,526 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$2,219 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have overwhelmingly converged on 30°C as Manila’s highest temperature for June 6, reflecting PAGASA’s official forecasts of highs near 29–32°C under the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity typical of early June suppress peak heating, keeping values aligned with the 30°C mark observed in recent model runs and station data. This positioning draws on climatological baselines of 31–32°C averages tempered by current atmospheric conditions that limit solar insolation. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing of monsoon clouds or an unforecasted ridge of high pressure boosting insolation enough to push readings to 33°C or above before evening observations close the market window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Volume
$52,842End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:24 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have overwhelmingly converged on 30°C as Manila’s highest temperature for June 6, reflecting PAGASA’s official forecasts of highs near 29–32°C under the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity typical of early June suppress peak heating, keeping values aligned with the 30°C mark observed in recent model runs and station data. This positioning draws on climatological baselines of 31–32°C averages tempered by current atmospheric conditions that limit solar insolation. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing of monsoon clouds or an unforecasted ridge of high pressure boosting insolation enough to push readings to 33°C or above before evening observations close the market window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52,842End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:24 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have overwhelmingly converged on 30°C as Manila’s highest temperature for June 6, reflecting PAGASA’s official forecasts of highs near 29–32°C under the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity typical of early June suppress peak heating, keeping values aligned with the 30°C mark observed in recent model runs and station data. This positioning draws on climatological baselines of 31–32°C averages tempered by current atmospheric conditions that limit solar insolation. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing of monsoon clouds or an unforecasted ridge of high pressure boosting insolation enough to push readings to 33°C or above before evening observations close the market window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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