Recent forecasts place Panama City’s daytime highs in the 30–34 °C range on August 15 amid the rainy season’s typical combination of high humidity, tropical moisture, and afternoon convection. These conditions, reinforced by sea-breeze circulation, historically cap peak temperatures near the long-term August average of about 32 °C while allowing modest day-to-day spread. Model consensus and climatological analogs therefore concentrate implied probability on 31 °C and 32 °C, with lower odds for outliers that would require unusually suppressed convection or stronger subsidence. Updated guidance from agencies such as the National Meteorological Service of Panama continues to support this narrow envelope as the primary driver of current trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 15?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 15?
31°C 42%
32°C 27%
30°C 20%
33°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
20%
31°C
42%
32°C
27%
33°C
7%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 42%
32°C 27%
30°C 20%
33°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
$158 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$273 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$92 Vol.
1%
28°C
$171 Vol.
1%
29°C
$766 Vol.
3%
30°C
$300 Vol.
20%
31°C
$1,107 Vol.
42%
32°C
$477 Vol.
27%
33°C
$843 Vol.
7%
34°C
$349 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$130 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts place Panama City’s daytime highs in the 30–34 °C range on August 15 amid the rainy season’s typical combination of high humidity, tropical moisture, and afternoon convection. These conditions, reinforced by sea-breeze circulation, historically cap peak temperatures near the long-term August average of about 32 °C while allowing modest day-to-day spread. Model consensus and climatological analogs therefore concentrate implied probability on 31 °C and 32 °C, with lower odds for outliers that would require unusually suppressed convection or stronger subsidence. Updated guidance from agencies such as the National Meteorological Service of Panama continues to support this narrow envelope as the primary driver of current trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$4,667End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts place Panama City’s daytime highs in the 30–34 °C range on August 15 amid the rainy season’s typical combination of high humidity, tropical moisture, and afternoon convection. These conditions, reinforced by sea-breeze circulation, historically cap peak temperatures near the long-term August average of about 32 °C while allowing modest day-to-day spread. Model consensus and climatological analogs therefore concentrate implied probability on 31 °C and 32 °C, with lower odds for outliers that would require unusually suppressed convection or stronger subsidence. Updated guidance from agencies such as the National Meteorological Service of Panama continues to support this narrow envelope as the primary driver of current trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,667End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts place Panama City’s daytime highs in the 30–34 °C range on August 15 amid the rainy season’s typical combination of high humidity, tropical moisture, and afternoon convection. These conditions, reinforced by sea-breeze circulation, historically cap peak temperatures near the long-term August average of about 32 °C while allowing modest day-to-day spread. Model consensus and climatological analogs therefore concentrate implied probability on 31 °C and 32 °C, with lower odds for outliers that would require unusually suppressed convection or stronger subsidence. Updated guidance from agencies such as the National Meteorological Service of Panama continues to support this narrow envelope as the primary driver of current trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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