Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts place Paris's April 13 maximum 2-meter temperature in the 13–15°C range, reflecting trader consensus amid a transitioning weather pattern: residual instability from eastern frontal disturbances gives way to drier conditions, limiting solar insolation and diurnal heating. The tight clustering—14°C at 29.5%, 13°C at 23.5%, 15°C at 21.5%—stems from model spread of 1–2°C, driven by uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, light winds (under 10 km/h), and boundary layer mixing. Slightly below April's climatological average of 15–16°C, odds could shift with tomorrow's 12Z model runs or April 12 observations, as short-range guidance refines resolution criteria tied to official Paris station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on April 13?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 13?
14°C 31%
13°C 24%
15°C 21%
12°C 11.3%
$13,273 Vol.
$13,273 Vol.
10°C or below
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
11%
13°C
24%
14°C
31%
15°C
21%
16°C
11%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 31%
13°C 24%
15°C 21%
12°C 11.3%
$13,273 Vol.
$13,273 Vol.
10°C or below
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
11%
13°C
24%
14°C
31%
15°C
21%
16°C
11%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts place Paris's April 13 maximum 2-meter temperature in the 13–15°C range, reflecting trader consensus amid a transitioning weather pattern: residual instability from eastern frontal disturbances gives way to drier conditions, limiting solar insolation and diurnal heating. The tight clustering—14°C at 29.5%, 13°C at 23.5%, 15°C at 21.5%—stems from model spread of 1–2°C, driven by uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, light winds (under 10 km/h), and boundary layer mixing. Slightly below April's climatological average of 15–16°C, odds could shift with tomorrow's 12Z model runs or April 12 observations, as short-range guidance refines resolution criteria tied to official Paris station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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