Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 60-61°F leading at 42.5% implied probability followed by 62°F or higher at 27.9%, reflects the National Weather Service's latest guidance showing highs in the upper 50s to mid-60s°F across the Seattle area on April 12 amid an amplifying upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest. This follows observed record-warm days at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), including 66°F on April 9 and 68°F on April 10—well above the mid-April climatological normal of 58°F—under dry, clear conditions with light winds favoring daytime heating. Model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs supports mild conditions with low precipitation risk, though marine stratus or timing of ridge peak could cap temperatures at 58-59°F (20%) or push higher; overnight forecast updates will refine this short-range outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on April 12?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 12?
60-61°F 43%
62°F or higher 27.5%
58-59°F 21%
56-57°F 5.5%
$27,131 Vol.
$27,131 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
43°F or below
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
3%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
21%
60-61°F
43%
62°F or higher
28%
60-61°F 43%
62°F or higher 27.5%
58-59°F 21%
56-57°F 5.5%
$27,131 Vol.
$27,131 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
43°F or below
$2,126 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$1,120 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$1,355 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$1,790 Vol.
1%
50-51°F
$2,461 Vol.
1%
52-53°F
$2,324 Vol.
1%
54-55°F
$3,774 Vol.
3%
56-57°F
$3,768 Vol.
6%
58-59°F
$2,997 Vol.
21%
60-61°F
$2,361 Vol.
43%
62°F or higher
$3,056 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 60-61°F leading at 42.5% implied probability followed by 62°F or higher at 27.9%, reflects the National Weather Service's latest guidance showing highs in the upper 50s to mid-60s°F across the Seattle area on April 12 amid an amplifying upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest. This follows observed record-warm days at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), including 66°F on April 9 and 68°F on April 10—well above the mid-April climatological normal of 58°F—under dry, clear conditions with light winds favoring daytime heating. Model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs supports mild conditions with low precipitation risk, though marine stratus or timing of ridge peak could cap temperatures at 58-59°F (20%) or push higher; overnight forecast updates will refine this short-range outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$27,131End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 60-61°F leading at 42.5% implied probability followed by 62°F or higher at 27.9%, reflects the National Weather Service's latest guidance showing highs in the upper 50s to mid-60s°F across the Seattle area on April 12 amid an amplifying upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest. This follows observed record-warm days at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), including 66°F on April 9 and 68°F on April 10—well above the mid-April climatological normal of 58°F—under dry, clear conditions with light winds favoring daytime heating. Model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs supports mild conditions with low precipitation risk, though marine stratus or timing of ridge peak could cap temperatures at 58-59°F (20%) or push higher; overnight forecast updates will refine this short-range outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$27,131End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 60-61°F leading at 42.5% implied probability followed by 62°F or higher at 27.9%, reflects the National Weather Service's latest guidance showing highs in the upper 50s to mid-60s°F across the Seattle area on April 12 amid an amplifying upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest. This follows observed record-warm days at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), including 66°F on April 9 and 68°F on April 10—well above the mid-April climatological normal of 58°F—under dry, clear conditions with light winds favoring daytime heating. Model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs supports mild conditions with low precipitation risk, though marine stratus or timing of ridge peak could cap temperatures at 58-59°F (20%) or push higher; overnight forecast updates will refine this short-range outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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