NEA's latest 4-day outlook forecasts a maximum temperature of 34°C in Singapore on April 12 amid expected afternoon thundery showers under inter-monsoon conditions, yet market-implied odds remain tightly split at 38% for 32°C and 37% for 31°C, reflecting trader skepticism on peak insolation due to variable cloud cover and convective activity. The Meteorological Service Singapore's fortnightly outlook supports daily highs of 33–35°C for early April despite wetter patterns, but historical April climatology at Changi Airport—the likely resolution station—averages around 31°C, with showers often capping peaks below 33°C via reduced solar heating. Key differentiators include shower onset timing and spatial coverage; early widespread rain favors 31°C, while patchy delays enable 32°C. Updated hourly forecasts expected later today could shift consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on April 12?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 12?
31°C 41%
32°C 38%
30°C 12%
33°C 9%
$25,968 Vol.
$25,968 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
12%
31°C
41%
32°C
38%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 41%
32°C 38%
30°C 12%
33°C 9%
$25,968 Vol.
$25,968 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
25°C or below
$1,457 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,262 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,337 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,410 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,391 Vol.
2%
30°C
$3,362 Vol.
12%
31°C
$1,715 Vol.
41%
32°C
$2,023 Vol.
38%
33°C
$2,282 Vol.
9%
34°C
$3,196 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$2,538 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.NEA's latest 4-day outlook forecasts a maximum temperature of 34°C in Singapore on April 12 amid expected afternoon thundery showers under inter-monsoon conditions, yet market-implied odds remain tightly split at 38% for 32°C and 37% for 31°C, reflecting trader skepticism on peak insolation due to variable cloud cover and convective activity. The Meteorological Service Singapore's fortnightly outlook supports daily highs of 33–35°C for early April despite wetter patterns, but historical April climatology at Changi Airport—the likely resolution station—averages around 31°C, with showers often capping peaks below 33°C via reduced solar heating. Key differentiators include shower onset timing and spatial coverage; early widespread rain favors 31°C, while patchy delays enable 32°C. Updated hourly forecasts expected later today could shift consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$25,968End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.NEA's latest 4-day outlook forecasts a maximum temperature of 34°C in Singapore on April 12 amid expected afternoon thundery showers under inter-monsoon conditions, yet market-implied odds remain tightly split at 38% for 32°C and 37% for 31°C, reflecting trader skepticism on peak insolation due to variable cloud cover and convective activity. The Meteorological Service Singapore's fortnightly outlook supports daily highs of 33–35°C for early April despite wetter patterns, but historical April climatology at Changi Airport—the likely resolution station—averages around 31°C, with showers often capping peaks below 33°C via reduced solar heating. Key differentiators include shower onset timing and spatial coverage; early widespread rain favors 31°C, while patchy delays enable 32°C. Updated hourly forecasts expected later today could shift consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$25,968End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...NEA's latest 4-day outlook forecasts a maximum temperature of 34°C in Singapore on April 12 amid expected afternoon thundery showers under inter-monsoon conditions, yet market-implied odds remain tightly split at 38% for 32°C and 37% for 31°C, reflecting trader skepticism on peak insolation due to variable cloud cover and convective activity. The Meteorological Service Singapore's fortnightly outlook supports daily highs of 33–35°C for early April despite wetter patterns, but historical April climatology at Changi Airport—the likely resolution station—averages around 31°C, with showers often capping peaks below 33°C via reduced solar heating. Key differentiators include shower onset timing and spatial coverage; early widespread rain favors 31°C, while patchy delays enable 32°C. Updated hourly forecasts expected later today could shift consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions