Official MetService forecasts project a Wellington maximum of 16°C on June 8 under northerly flows and partly cloudy skies, driving the market's near-100% consensus on that outcome. This exceeds typical June climatological highs of 13–14°C because mild northerly advection is overriding seasonal cooling, consistent with model consensus from multiple agencies. Traders view the numerical weather prediction alignment and proximity to resolution as minimizing variance, though an unexpected shift in wind direction or increased cloud cover could still alter the observed peak before official recording closes the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on June 8?
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$63,730 Vol.
$63,730 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$63,730 Vol.
$63,730 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 6, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official MetService forecasts project a Wellington maximum of 16°C on June 8 under northerly flows and partly cloudy skies, driving the market's near-100% consensus on that outcome. This exceeds typical June climatological highs of 13–14°C because mild northerly advection is overriding seasonal cooling, consistent with model consensus from multiple agencies. Traders view the numerical weather prediction alignment and proximity to resolution as minimizing variance, though an unexpected shift in wind direction or increased cloud cover could still alter the observed peak before official recording closes the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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