Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models converge on a daytime high of 21-23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 13, anchoring trader consensus with 22°C at 33% implied probability, 23°C at 23%, and 21°C at 21.5%. Recent observations show April 10-11 highs near 23°C amid mild spring conditions averaging 21°C historically, but a cooling trend emerges from northerly winds and light rain showers forecast by BBC and AccuWeather, potentially capping peaks through reduced solar insolation and increased cloud cover. Outcomes below 20°C or above 25°C face steep barriers from stable atmospheric patterns; new CMA bulletins and model runs on April 12 will refine uncertainty in this short-range window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 13?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 13?
22°C 33%
23°C 29%
21°C 24%
24°C 14%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
24%
22°C
33%
23°C
29%
24°C
14%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 33%
23°C 29%
21°C 24%
24°C 14%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
24%
22°C
33%
23°C
29%
24°C
14%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models converge on a daytime high of 21-23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 13, anchoring trader consensus with 22°C at 33% implied probability, 23°C at 23%, and 21°C at 21.5%. Recent observations show April 10-11 highs near 23°C amid mild spring conditions averaging 21°C historically, but a cooling trend emerges from northerly winds and light rain showers forecast by BBC and AccuWeather, potentially capping peaks through reduced solar insolation and increased cloud cover. Outcomes below 20°C or above 25°C face steep barriers from stable atmospheric patterns; new CMA bulletins and model runs on April 12 will refine uncertainty in this short-range window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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