Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models show tight convergence on a daytime high of 23–24°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 12, driving trader consensus with 23°C at 41.5% implied probability slightly ahead of 24°C at 33%. This positioning stems from yesterday's frontal passage capping April 11's high near 22°C after April 10's warmer 28°C peak under overcast skies, with lingering cloud cover and light rain probabilities (30–40%) suppressing peak insolation and favoring the lower end. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon clearing—GFS hints at more sun for potential 24°C, while CMA stresses persistent moisture—and airport-specific urban heat island effects. New 00Z runs and hourly observations will clarify before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 12?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 12?
23°C 45%
24°C 24%
22°C 19%
25°C 10%
$18,671 Vol.
$18,671 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
19%
23°C
45%
24°C
24%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
3%
23°C 45%
24°C 24%
22°C 19%
25°C 10%
$18,671 Vol.
$18,671 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
16°C or below
$723 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,003 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,127 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,371 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,289 Vol.
1%
21°C
$2,831 Vol.
3%
22°C
$1,340 Vol.
19%
23°C
$1,230 Vol.
45%
24°C
$1,571 Vol.
24%
25°C
$1,419 Vol.
10%
26°C or higher
$1,856 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models show tight convergence on a daytime high of 23–24°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 12, driving trader consensus with 23°C at 41.5% implied probability slightly ahead of 24°C at 33%. This positioning stems from yesterday's frontal passage capping April 11's high near 22°C after April 10's warmer 28°C peak under overcast skies, with lingering cloud cover and light rain probabilities (30–40%) suppressing peak insolation and favoring the lower end. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon clearing—GFS hints at more sun for potential 24°C, while CMA stresses persistent moisture—and airport-specific urban heat island effects. New 00Z runs and hourly observations will clarify before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volume
$18,671End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models show tight convergence on a daytime high of 23–24°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 12, driving trader consensus with 23°C at 41.5% implied probability slightly ahead of 24°C at 33%. This positioning stems from yesterday's frontal passage capping April 11's high near 22°C after April 10's warmer 28°C peak under overcast skies, with lingering cloud cover and light rain probabilities (30–40%) suppressing peak insolation and favoring the lower end. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon clearing—GFS hints at more sun for potential 24°C, while CMA stresses persistent moisture—and airport-specific urban heat island effects. New 00Z runs and hourly observations will clarify before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,671End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models show tight convergence on a daytime high of 23–24°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 12, driving trader consensus with 23°C at 41.5% implied probability slightly ahead of 24°C at 33%. This positioning stems from yesterday's frontal passage capping April 11's high near 22°C after April 10's warmer 28°C peak under overcast skies, with lingering cloud cover and light rain probabilities (30–40%) suppressing peak insolation and favoring the lower end. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon clearing—GFS hints at more sun for potential 24°C, while CMA stresses persistent moisture—and airport-specific urban heat island effects. New 00Z runs and hourly observations will clarify before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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