Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 26°C high temperature in Wuhan on April 25, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting exactly that maximum at the official Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station under sunny-to-partly cloudy skies with light east-to-southeast winds around 3 m/s. This positioning stems from recent model consensus—ECMWF and GFS ensembles—showing daytime heating capped by lingering mid-level clouds from a departing frontal system, following cooler days (17–22°C highs April 21–24) after a 30°C peak on April 19. Current morning observations near 13–15°C support a steady rise without extreme insolation. Realistic challenges include unanticipated full-sky clearing boosting solar radiation by 10–20% to reach 27°C+, though forecast uncertainty remains low with agreement across agencies; final resolution awaits evening observations and post-midnight official report.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 25?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 25?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$59,746 Vol.
$59,746 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$59,746 Vol.
$59,746 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
22°C or below
$5,888 Vol.
No
23°C
$9,662 Vol.
No
24°C
$7,687 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,659 Vol.
No
26°C
$9,492 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$5,735 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,934 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,909 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,787 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,791 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$1,203 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 26°C high temperature in Wuhan on April 25, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting exactly that maximum at the official Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station under sunny-to-partly cloudy skies with light east-to-southeast winds around 3 m/s. This positioning stems from recent model consensus—ECMWF and GFS ensembles—showing daytime heating capped by lingering mid-level clouds from a departing frontal system, following cooler days (17–22°C highs April 21–24) after a 30°C peak on April 19. Current morning observations near 13–15°C support a steady rise without extreme insolation. Realistic challenges include unanticipated full-sky clearing boosting solar radiation by 10–20% to reach 27°C+, though forecast uncertainty remains low with agreement across agencies; final resolution awaits evening observations and post-midnight official report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volume
$59,746End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 26°C high temperature in Wuhan on April 25, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting exactly that maximum at the official Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station under sunny-to-partly cloudy skies with light east-to-southeast winds around 3 m/s. This positioning stems from recent model consensus—ECMWF and GFS ensembles—showing daytime heating capped by lingering mid-level clouds from a departing frontal system, following cooler days (17–22°C highs April 21–24) after a 30°C peak on April 19. Current morning observations near 13–15°C support a steady rise without extreme insolation. Realistic challenges include unanticipated full-sky clearing boosting solar radiation by 10–20% to reach 27°C+, though forecast uncertainty remains low with agreement across agencies; final resolution awaits evening observations and post-midnight official report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$59,746End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 26°C high temperature in Wuhan on April 25, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting exactly that maximum at the official Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station under sunny-to-partly cloudy skies with light east-to-southeast winds around 3 m/s. This positioning stems from recent model consensus—ECMWF and GFS ensembles—showing daytime heating capped by lingering mid-level clouds from a departing frontal system, following cooler days (17–22°C highs April 21–24) after a 30°C peak on April 19. Current morning observations near 13–15°C support a steady rise without extreme insolation. Realistic challenges include unanticipated full-sky clearing boosting solar radiation by 10–20% to reach 27°C+, though forecast uncertainty remains low with agreement across agencies; final resolution awaits evening observations and post-midnight official report.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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