Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in London on August 26, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17–18°C because small forecast differences in boundary-layer moisture, overnight cloud thickness, and the exact timing of any Atlantic front can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average 14–15°C, but the current warmer-than-normal pattern and high-pressure dominance support the elevated probabilities for the upper end of the distribution while leaving room for modest downward revisions if clearer skies develop. Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature observations will be the next key catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 26?
Lowest temperature in London on August 26?
18°C 35%
17°C 35%
15°C 17%
19°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
12°C or below
3%
13°C
10%
14°C
15%
15°C
17%
16°C
13%
17°C
35%
18°C
35%
19°C
16%
20°C
8%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 35%
17°C 35%
15°C 17%
19°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
13°C
$0 Vol.
10%
14°C
$0 Vol.
15%
15°C
$0 Vol.
17%
16°C
$59 Vol.
13%
17°C
$101 Vol.
35%
18°C
$65 Vol.
35%
19°C
$12 Vol.
16%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in London on August 26, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17–18°C because small forecast differences in boundary-layer moisture, overnight cloud thickness, and the exact timing of any Atlantic front can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average 14–15°C, but the current warmer-than-normal pattern and high-pressure dominance support the elevated probabilities for the upper end of the distribution while leaving room for modest downward revisions if clearer skies develop. Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature observations will be the next key catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$237End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in London on August 26, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17–18°C because small forecast differences in boundary-layer moisture, overnight cloud thickness, and the exact timing of any Atlantic front can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average 14–15°C, but the current warmer-than-normal pattern and high-pressure dominance support the elevated probabilities for the upper end of the distribution while leaving room for modest downward revisions if clearer skies develop. Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature observations will be the next key catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$237End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in London on August 26, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17–18°C because small forecast differences in boundary-layer moisture, overnight cloud thickness, and the exact timing of any Atlantic front can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average 14–15°C, but the current warmer-than-normal pattern and high-pressure dominance support the elevated probabilities for the upper end of the distribution while leaving room for modest downward revisions if clearer skies develop. Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature observations will be the next key catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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