Current short-range forecasts from sources including timeanddate and BBC Weather indicate Qingdao overnight lows near 25–27 °C on August 24, consistent with late-August climatology under southerly flow and maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea. Scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover may slightly suppress daytime maxima but are unlikely to produce sharp nocturnal cooling unless a stronger northerly surge develops. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with the 22 °C-or-below outcome appearing as an outlier relative to observed trends and historical minima near 23 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24–48 hours will refine whether any transient frontal passage alters this baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
22°C or below 90%
32°C or higher 47%
27°C 37%
28°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
90%
23°C
36%
24°C
19%
25°C
19%
26°C
20%
27°C
28%
28°C
37%
29°C
2%
30°C
36%
31°C
36%
32°C or higher
47%
22°C or below 90%
32°C or higher 47%
27°C 37%
28°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
90%
23°C
$5 Vol.
36%
24°C
$17 Vol.
19%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$18 Vol.
20%
27°C
$5 Vol.
28%
28°C
$5 Vol.
37%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C
$5 Vol.
36%
31°C
$5 Vol.
36%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from sources including timeanddate and BBC Weather indicate Qingdao overnight lows near 25–27 °C on August 24, consistent with late-August climatology under southerly flow and maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea. Scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover may slightly suppress daytime maxima but are unlikely to produce sharp nocturnal cooling unless a stronger northerly surge develops. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with the 22 °C-or-below outcome appearing as an outlier relative to observed trends and historical minima near 23 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24–48 hours will refine whether any transient frontal passage alters this baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$75End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from sources including timeanddate and BBC Weather indicate Qingdao overnight lows near 25–27 °C on August 24, consistent with late-August climatology under southerly flow and maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea. Scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover may slightly suppress daytime maxima but are unlikely to produce sharp nocturnal cooling unless a stronger northerly surge develops. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with the 22 °C-or-below outcome appearing as an outlier relative to observed trends and historical minima near 23 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24–48 hours will refine whether any transient frontal passage alters this baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$75End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from sources including timeanddate and BBC Weather indicate Qingdao overnight lows near 25–27 °C on August 24, consistent with late-August climatology under southerly flow and maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea. Scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover may slightly suppress daytime maxima but are unlikely to produce sharp nocturnal cooling unless a stronger northerly surge develops. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with the 22 °C-or-below outcome appearing as an outlier relative to observed trends and historical minima near 23 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24–48 hours will refine whether any transient frontal passage alters this baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions