Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a highest temperature near 29–30°C in coastal Qingdao on August 24, driven by southerly flow, lingering moisture from recent showers, and moderating sea breezes off the Yellow Sea that limit afternoon heating. Scattered clouds and light rain potential further cap peaks. Market-implied odds favoring 31–33°C reflect traders weighing model spread, possible breaks in cloud cover allowing extra insolation, and historical late-August variability of 2–3°C in this region. Key variables include precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind shifts; updated runs from global and regional models ahead of the date will likely tighten consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
32°C 34%
31°C 22%
33°C 18%
30°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
12%
30°C
13%
31°C
22%
32°C
34%
33°C
18%
34°C or higher
11%
32°C 34%
31°C 22%
33°C 18%
30°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$3 Vol.
2%
29°C
$5 Vol.
12%
30°C
$0 Vol.
13%
31°C
$0 Vol.
22%
32°C
$17 Vol.
34%
33°C
$11 Vol.
18%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a highest temperature near 29–30°C in coastal Qingdao on August 24, driven by southerly flow, lingering moisture from recent showers, and moderating sea breezes off the Yellow Sea that limit afternoon heating. Scattered clouds and light rain potential further cap peaks. Market-implied odds favoring 31–33°C reflect traders weighing model spread, possible breaks in cloud cover allowing extra insolation, and historical late-August variability of 2–3°C in this region. Key variables include precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind shifts; updated runs from global and regional models ahead of the date will likely tighten consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$41End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a highest temperature near 29–30°C in coastal Qingdao on August 24, driven by southerly flow, lingering moisture from recent showers, and moderating sea breezes off the Yellow Sea that limit afternoon heating. Scattered clouds and light rain potential further cap peaks. Market-implied odds favoring 31–33°C reflect traders weighing model spread, possible breaks in cloud cover allowing extra insolation, and historical late-August variability of 2–3°C in this region. Key variables include precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind shifts; updated runs from global and regional models ahead of the date will likely tighten consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a highest temperature near 29–30°C in coastal Qingdao on August 24, driven by southerly flow, lingering moisture from recent showers, and moderating sea breezes off the Yellow Sea that limit afternoon heating. Scattered clouds and light rain potential further cap peaks. Market-implied odds favoring 31–33°C reflect traders weighing model spread, possible breaks in cloud cover allowing extra insolation, and historical late-August variability of 2–3°C in this region. Key variables include precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind shifts; updated runs from global and regional models ahead of the date will likely tighten consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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