Current forecast models indicate overnight lows in São Paulo near 13–15°C on August 25 under mostly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, consistent with the near-tie between 13°C and 14°C market-implied odds. Persistent high pressure has stabilized conditions, limiting radiative cooling while moderating temperatures above seasonal August averages around 12°C. Key variables include cloud thickness, which reduces heat loss, and minor model differences in dew point and wind speed that affect the exact minimum. Updated runs from agencies like the National Meteorological Institute will clarify resolution thresholds before the overnight period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 25?
9°C or below 47%
13°C 30%
14°C 29%
15°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
9°C or below
47%
10°C
5%
11°C
9%
12°C
8%
13°C
30%
14°C
29%
15°C
27%
16°C
23%
17°C
9%
18°C
16%
19°C or higher
2%
9°C or below 47%
13°C 30%
14°C 29%
15°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
47%
10°C
$55 Vol.
5%
11°C
$1 Vol.
9%
12°C
$1 Vol.
8%
13°C
$0 Vol.
30%
14°C
$0 Vol.
29%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
23%
17°C
$0 Vol.
9%
18°C
$135 Vol.
16%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate overnight lows in São Paulo near 13–15°C on August 25 under mostly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, consistent with the near-tie between 13°C and 14°C market-implied odds. Persistent high pressure has stabilized conditions, limiting radiative cooling while moderating temperatures above seasonal August averages around 12°C. Key variables include cloud thickness, which reduces heat loss, and minor model differences in dew point and wind speed that affect the exact minimum. Updated runs from agencies like the National Meteorological Institute will clarify resolution thresholds before the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$202End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate overnight lows in São Paulo near 13–15°C on August 25 under mostly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, consistent with the near-tie between 13°C and 14°C market-implied odds. Persistent high pressure has stabilized conditions, limiting radiative cooling while moderating temperatures above seasonal August averages around 12°C. Key variables include cloud thickness, which reduces heat loss, and minor model differences in dew point and wind speed that affect the exact minimum. Updated runs from agencies like the National Meteorological Institute will clarify resolution thresholds before the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$202End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate overnight lows in São Paulo near 13–15°C on August 25 under mostly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, consistent with the near-tie between 13°C and 14°C market-implied odds. Persistent high pressure has stabilized conditions, limiting radiative cooling while moderating temperatures above seasonal August averages around 12°C. Key variables include cloud thickness, which reduces heat loss, and minor model differences in dew point and wind speed that affect the exact minimum. Updated runs from agencies like the National Meteorological Institute will clarify resolution thresholds before the overnight period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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