Recent forecasts from Singapore's meteorological service and global models indicate nighttime minimum temperatures on August 26 will likely hold near 27–28°C amid prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and moderate El Niño warming. Persistent high humidity, light southeasterly winds, and a 50–70% chance of localized afternoon thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows above the long-term August average of roughly 25.3°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable tropical dynamics against occasional heavier showers that could briefly dip readings toward 26°C or sustain them near 28°C, producing the tightest market-implied odds on those two outcomes. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine any steering or rainfall impacts on the daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Singapore on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Singapore on August 26?
24°C 44%
25°C 44%
26°C 44%
29°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
41%
23°C
15%
24°C
44%
25°C
44%
26°C
44%
27°C
38%
28°C
41%
29°C
44%
30°C
44%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
41%
24°C 44%
25°C 44%
26°C 44%
29°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
41%
23°C
$0 Vol.
15%
24°C
$0 Vol.
44%
25°C
$0 Vol.
44%
26°C
$0 Vol.
44%
27°C
$0 Vol.
38%
28°C
$0 Vol.
41%
29°C
$0 Vol.
44%
30°C
$0 Vol.
44%
31°C
$0 Vol.
19%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Singapore's meteorological service and global models indicate nighttime minimum temperatures on August 26 will likely hold near 27–28°C amid prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and moderate El Niño warming. Persistent high humidity, light southeasterly winds, and a 50–70% chance of localized afternoon thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows above the long-term August average of roughly 25.3°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable tropical dynamics against occasional heavier showers that could briefly dip readings toward 26°C or sustain them near 28°C, producing the tightest market-implied odds on those two outcomes. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine any steering or rainfall impacts on the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Singapore's meteorological service and global models indicate nighttime minimum temperatures on August 26 will likely hold near 27–28°C amid prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and moderate El Niño warming. Persistent high humidity, light southeasterly winds, and a 50–70% chance of localized afternoon thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows above the long-term August average of roughly 25.3°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable tropical dynamics against occasional heavier showers that could briefly dip readings toward 26°C or sustain them near 28°C, producing the tightest market-implied odds on those two outcomes. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine any steering or rainfall impacts on the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Singapore's meteorological service and global models indicate nighttime minimum temperatures on August 26 will likely hold near 27–28°C amid prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and moderate El Niño warming. Persistent high humidity, light southeasterly winds, and a 50–70% chance of localized afternoon thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows above the long-term August average of roughly 25.3°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable tropical dynamics against occasional heavier showers that could briefly dip readings toward 26°C or sustain them near 28°C, producing the tightest market-implied odds on those two outcomes. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine any steering or rainfall impacts on the daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions