Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 66-69°F outcomes for Denver's April 6 high temperature, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and model ensemble means clustering in the upper 60s amid a weak upper-level ridge over the Rockies. This mild above-normal outlook (climatological average ~60°F) follows March 2026's record warmth—Denver's hottest on record with an 87°F peak—and April 3's cooler, gusty northwest winds driving critical fire weather with highs near 54°F. Differentiating factors include subtle GFS-ECMWF spreads on ridge amplitude and mid-level cloud cover, potentially varying highs by 3-4°F, plus diurnal boundary layer mixing under light winds. New 12z model runs and afternoon soundings today could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Denver on April 6?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 6?
68-69°F 22%
66-67°F 21%
62-63°F 20%
70-71°F 11%
59°F or below
6%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
2%
78°F or higher
4%
68-69°F 22%
66-67°F 21%
62-63°F 20%
70-71°F 11%
59°F or below
6%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
2%
78°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 66-69°F outcomes for Denver's April 6 high temperature, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and model ensemble means clustering in the upper 60s amid a weak upper-level ridge over the Rockies. This mild above-normal outlook (climatological average ~60°F) follows March 2026's record warmth—Denver's hottest on record with an 87°F peak—and April 3's cooler, gusty northwest winds driving critical fire weather with highs near 54°F. Differentiating factors include subtle GFS-ECMWF spreads on ridge amplitude and mid-level cloud cover, potentially varying highs by 3-4°F, plus diurnal boundary layer mixing under light winds. New 12z model runs and afternoon soundings today could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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