Trader consensus tilts narrowly toward 10°C (34%) over 9°C (31.5%) for London's highest temperature on March 26, driven by the latest Met Office and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting maxima of 9-11°C under persistent stratiform cloud cover from an Atlantic low-pressure trough. This close split stems from subtle differences in simulated insolation—brief cloud breaks could push peaks to 11°C (18.5%), while thicker overcast and light northerly winds favor 9°C by curbing solar heating. Historical late-March averages near 10°C align with these odds, but short-range uncertainty in boundary layer mixing keeps lower outcomes viable; watch 12Z forecast updates for shifts as traders hedge on microscale variability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 26 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 26 mars ?
10°C 34%
9°C 32%
11°C 19%
8°C 9%
$52,847 Vol.
$52,847 Vol.
3°C ou moins
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
4%
8°C
9%
9°C
32%
10°C
34%
11°C
19%
12°C
3%
13°C ou plus
2%
10°C 34%
9°C 32%
11°C 19%
8°C 9%
$52,847 Vol.
$52,847 Vol.
3°C ou moins
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
4%
8°C
9%
9°C
32%
10°C
34%
11°C
19%
12°C
3%
13°C ou plus
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus tilts narrowly toward 10°C (34%) over 9°C (31.5%) for London's highest temperature on March 26, driven by the latest Met Office and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting maxima of 9-11°C under persistent stratiform cloud cover from an Atlantic low-pressure trough. This close split stems from subtle differences in simulated insolation—brief cloud breaks could push peaks to 11°C (18.5%), while thicker overcast and light northerly winds favor 9°C by curbing solar heating. Historical late-March averages near 10°C align with these odds, but short-range uncertainty in boundary layer mixing keeps lower outcomes viable; watch 12Z forecast updates for shifts as traders hedge on microscale variability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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