India Meteorological Department forecasts a maximum temperature of 36°C in Lucknow on March 29, driving trader consensus with 31.5% implied probability for that outcome, narrowly ahead of 35°C at 28.5%, amid stable late-March patterns featuring clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds. Recent observations show daily highs of 35-37°C over the past week, elevated above the 33-35°C climatological average due to low soil moisture and high solar insolation from an early-season ridge aloft. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF align closely but diverge on afternoon cloud development, which could cap peaks at 35°C or allow 36-37°C under sunnier conditions; daily IMD updates expected by morning will refine this uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 29 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 29 mars ?
36°C 31%
35°C 28%
34°C ou moins 17%
37°C 13%
34°C ou moins
17%
35°C
28%
36°C
31%
37°C
13%
38°C
4%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C ou plus
1%
36°C 31%
35°C 28%
34°C ou moins 17%
37°C 13%
34°C ou moins
17%
35°C
28%
36°C
31%
37°C
13%
38°C
4%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department forecasts a maximum temperature of 36°C in Lucknow on March 29, driving trader consensus with 31.5% implied probability for that outcome, narrowly ahead of 35°C at 28.5%, amid stable late-March patterns featuring clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds. Recent observations show daily highs of 35-37°C over the past week, elevated above the 33-35°C climatological average due to low soil moisture and high solar insolation from an early-season ridge aloft. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF align closely but diverge on afternoon cloud development, which could cap peaks at 35°C or allow 36-37°C under sunnier conditions; daily IMD updates expected by morning will refine this uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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