Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 5°C in Moscow today at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from Roshydromet stations and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models clustering peaks at 4–6°C amid a cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light rain suppressing solar insolation. This marks a downturn from yesterday's projections of up to 10°C, as measured highs have held near 4–5°C (e.g., 39°F or ~4°C at key sites), consistent with April climatology where overcast conditions often limit warming below the 10°C monthly average. Upside risks—sudden clearing or wind shift—remain negligible given the daily maximum likely passed and minimal remaining daylight; final agency reports will confirm resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Moscow on April 11?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 11?
5°C 100.0%
-3°C or below <1%
-2°C <1%
-1°C <1%
$62,620 Vol.
$62,620 Vol.
11 avr. 2026
-3°C or below
No
-2°C
No
-1°C
No
0°C
No
1°C
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
Yes
6°C
No
7°C or higher
No
5°C 100.0%
-3°C or below <1%
-2°C <1%
-1°C <1%
$62,620 Vol.
$62,620 Vol.
11 avr. 2026
-3°C or below
$3,295 Vol.
No
-2°C
$2,033 Vol.
No
-1°C
$799 Vol.
No
0°C
$1,790 Vol.
No
1°C
$2,181 Vol.
No
2°C
$1,824 Vol.
No
3°C
$1,032 Vol.
No
4°C
$9,857 Vol.
No
5°C
$15,271 Vol.
Yes
6°C
$10,142 Vol.
No
7°C or higher
$14,395 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 5°C in Moscow today at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from Roshydromet stations and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models clustering peaks at 4–6°C amid a cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light rain suppressing solar insolation. This marks a downturn from yesterday's projections of up to 10°C, as measured highs have held near 4–5°C (e.g., 39°F or ~4°C at key sites), consistent with April climatology where overcast conditions often limit warming below the 10°C monthly average. Upside risks—sudden clearing or wind shift—remain negligible given the daily maximum likely passed and minimal remaining daylight; final agency reports will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$62,620Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 5°C in Moscow today at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from Roshydromet stations and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models clustering peaks at 4–6°C amid a cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light rain suppressing solar insolation. This marks a downturn from yesterday's projections of up to 10°C, as measured highs have held near 4–5°C (e.g., 39°F or ~4°C at key sites), consistent with April climatology where overcast conditions often limit warming below the 10°C monthly average. Upside risks—sudden clearing or wind shift—remain negligible given the daily maximum likely passed and minimal remaining daylight; final agency reports will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$62,620Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 5°C in Moscow today at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from Roshydromet stations and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models clustering peaks at 4–6°C amid a cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light rain suppressing solar insolation. This marks a downturn from yesterday's projections of up to 10°C, as measured highs have held near 4–5°C (e.g., 39°F or ~4°C at key sites), consistent with April climatology where overcast conditions often limit warming below the 10°C monthly average. Upside risks—sudden clearing or wind shift—remain negligible given the daily maximum likely passed and minimal remaining daylight; final agency reports will confirm resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes