Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside official guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, project Moscow's highest temperature on April 13 at 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the 91% market-implied probability for 11°C or higher as trader consensus reflects this high-confidence outlook. This warming follows a recent cold snap with lingering snow in central Russia, where nighttime lows dipped to 2–4°C, but upper-air patterns now favor mild advection from the southwest. Historical April highs average around 11°C, aligning with current projections. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen northward surge of Arctic air or persistent low clouds suppressing daytime heating, though model agreement remains strong ahead of tomorrow's National Weather Service updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Moscow on April 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 13?
11°C or higher 93%
10°C 3.4%
9°C 2.2%
8°C 1.1%
$13,316 Vol.
$13,316 Vol.
13 avr. 2026
1°C or below
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C or higher
93%
11°C or higher 93%
10°C 3.4%
9°C 2.2%
8°C 1.1%
$13,316 Vol.
$13,316 Vol.
13 avr. 2026
1°C or below
$797 Vol.
<1%
2°C
$1,874 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$1,688 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$1,463 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$1,243 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,025 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$1,319 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$615 Vol.
1%
9°C
$754 Vol.
2%
10°C
$851 Vol.
3%
11°C or higher
$1,687 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside official guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, project Moscow's highest temperature on April 13 at 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the 91% market-implied probability for 11°C or higher as trader consensus reflects this high-confidence outlook. This warming follows a recent cold snap with lingering snow in central Russia, where nighttime lows dipped to 2–4°C, but upper-air patterns now favor mild advection from the southwest. Historical April highs average around 11°C, aligning with current projections. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen northward surge of Arctic air or persistent low clouds suppressing daytime heating, though model agreement remains strong ahead of tomorrow's National Weather Service updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$13,316Date de fin
13 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside official guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, project Moscow's highest temperature on April 13 at 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the 91% market-implied probability for 11°C or higher as trader consensus reflects this high-confidence outlook. This warming follows a recent cold snap with lingering snow in central Russia, where nighttime lows dipped to 2–4°C, but upper-air patterns now favor mild advection from the southwest. Historical April highs average around 11°C, aligning with current projections. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen northward surge of Arctic air or persistent low clouds suppressing daytime heating, though model agreement remains strong ahead of tomorrow's National Weather Service updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,316Date de fin
13 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside official guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, project Moscow's highest temperature on April 13 at 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the 91% market-implied probability for 11°C or higher as trader consensus reflects this high-confidence outlook. This warming follows a recent cold snap with lingering snow in central Russia, where nighttime lows dipped to 2–4°C, but upper-air patterns now favor mild advection from the southwest. Historical April highs average around 11°C, aligning with current projections. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen northward surge of Arctic air or persistent low clouds suppressing daytime heating, though model agreement remains strong ahead of tomorrow's National Weather Service updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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