Latest ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and Russian Hydromet systems project Moscow's highest temperature on April 12 at 9–11°C, driving trader consensus toward 10°C (43.5% implied probability), 9°C (29.5%), and 11°C (20.5%). This positioning stems from persistent cool northwest airflow and cloudy conditions with 70%+ precipitation odds during the day, capping warming below mid-April climatological averages of 10–12°C at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's NOAA resolution site. Recent 24-hour updates show tightening model spreads of ±1–2°C amid light winds (1–3 m/s) and rising pressure (754–756 mm Hg), though showers could shave 1°C off peaks. New observational data overnight will refine probabilities before midday highs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Moscow on April 12?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 12?
10°C 45%
9°C 27%
11°C 18%
8°C 4.9%
$19,249 Vol.
$19,249 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
5%
9°C
27%
10°C
45%
11°C
18%
12°C
4%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
10°C 45%
9°C 27%
11°C 18%
8°C 4.9%
$19,249 Vol.
$19,249 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
7°C or below
$2,439 Vol.
1%
8°C
$2,160 Vol.
5%
9°C
$1,684 Vol.
27%
10°C
$1,420 Vol.
45%
11°C
$1,462 Vol.
18%
12°C
$1,054 Vol.
4%
13°C
$1,550 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,500 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,842 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,300 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$1,839 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and Russian Hydromet systems project Moscow's highest temperature on April 12 at 9–11°C, driving trader consensus toward 10°C (43.5% implied probability), 9°C (29.5%), and 11°C (20.5%). This positioning stems from persistent cool northwest airflow and cloudy conditions with 70%+ precipitation odds during the day, capping warming below mid-April climatological averages of 10–12°C at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's NOAA resolution site. Recent 24-hour updates show tightening model spreads of ±1–2°C amid light winds (1–3 m/s) and rising pressure (754–756 mm Hg), though showers could shave 1°C off peaks. New observational data overnight will refine probabilities before midday highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volume
$19,249Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and Russian Hydromet systems project Moscow's highest temperature on April 12 at 9–11°C, driving trader consensus toward 10°C (43.5% implied probability), 9°C (29.5%), and 11°C (20.5%). This positioning stems from persistent cool northwest airflow and cloudy conditions with 70%+ precipitation odds during the day, capping warming below mid-April climatological averages of 10–12°C at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's NOAA resolution site. Recent 24-hour updates show tightening model spreads of ±1–2°C amid light winds (1–3 m/s) and rising pressure (754–756 mm Hg), though showers could shave 1°C off peaks. New observational data overnight will refine probabilities before midday highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,249Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and Russian Hydromet systems project Moscow's highest temperature on April 12 at 9–11°C, driving trader consensus toward 10°C (43.5% implied probability), 9°C (29.5%), and 11°C (20.5%). This positioning stems from persistent cool northwest airflow and cloudy conditions with 70%+ precipitation odds during the day, capping warming below mid-April climatological averages of 10–12°C at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's NOAA resolution site. Recent 24-hour updates show tightening model spreads of ±1–2°C amid light winds (1–3 m/s) and rising pressure (754–756 mm Hg), though showers could shave 1°C off peaks. New observational data overnight will refine probabilities before midday highs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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