Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 12–14°C for Seoul's highest temperature on April 5, mirroring the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast of a 13°C maximum at Incheon International Airport station amid a cooling trend under high-pressure influence. Recent northerly winds have lowered diurnal highs from 17°C on April 3 to a projected 14°C on April 4, with light clouds potentially capping insolation and peak heating in the afternoon. Ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS inputs show 1–2°C variability due to cloud evolution and boundary layer mixing, driving tight market-implied odds. KMA's 5 PM update and aviation forecasts will refine this further as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seoul on April 5?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 5?
13°C 23%
12°C 22%
14°C 17%
16°C or higher 13%
$23,529 Vol.
$23,529 Vol.
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
5%
11°C
12%
12°C
22%
13°C
23%
14°C
17%
15°C
10%
16°C or higher
13%
13°C 23%
12°C 22%
14°C 17%
16°C or higher 13%
$23,529 Vol.
$23,529 Vol.
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
5%
11°C
12%
12°C
22%
13°C
23%
14°C
17%
15°C
10%
16°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 12–14°C for Seoul's highest temperature on April 5, mirroring the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast of a 13°C maximum at Incheon International Airport station amid a cooling trend under high-pressure influence. Recent northerly winds have lowered diurnal highs from 17°C on April 3 to a projected 14°C on April 4, with light clouds potentially capping insolation and peak heating in the afternoon. Ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS inputs show 1–2°C variability due to cloud evolution and boundary layer mixing, driving tight market-implied odds. KMA's 5 PM update and aviation forecasts will refine this further as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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