Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 14°C (44% implied probability) in Warsaw on April 12, driven by the latest synoptic forecast from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW-PIB), which projects maximums of 9–12°C amid northerly winds and partly cloudy conditions, contrasted by warmer signals in updated ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs clustering around 13–15°C. Recent observations on April 11 show daytime highs near 12°C with a cool air mass lingering from northern flow, limiting rapid warming, while potential clearing skies and weak high-pressure ridging could elevate peaks toward 15°C or higher (28%). Historical April norms average 13°C highs at Warsaw's Chopin Airport station, where official measurements will resolve the market; expect final hourly updates from IMGW by midday.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 12?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 12?
14°C 42%
15°C or higher 28%
13°C 24%
12°C 7.8%
$26,817 Vol.
$26,817 Vol.
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
8%
13°C
24%
14°C
42%
15°C or higher
28%
14°C 42%
15°C or higher 28%
13°C 24%
12°C 7.8%
$26,817 Vol.
$26,817 Vol.
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
8%
13°C
24%
14°C
42%
15°C or higher
28%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 14°C (44% implied probability) in Warsaw on April 12, driven by the latest synoptic forecast from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW-PIB), which projects maximums of 9–12°C amid northerly winds and partly cloudy conditions, contrasted by warmer signals in updated ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs clustering around 13–15°C. Recent observations on April 11 show daytime highs near 12°C with a cool air mass lingering from northern flow, limiting rapid warming, while potential clearing skies and weak high-pressure ridging could elevate peaks toward 15°C or higher (28%). Historical April norms average 13°C highs at Warsaw's Chopin Airport station, where official measurements will resolve the market; expect final hourly updates from IMGW by midday.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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