MetService's latest forecast for Wellington Central pegs the April 17 maximum temperature at 18°C under fine conditions turning to morning showers with strengthening northwesterlies rising to gale force in the afternoon, anchoring trader sentiment with 43% implied probability on that outcome and 30% on 19°C. Recent mild autumn weather, including today's 18°C high amid northerlies, aligns with this outlook, while historical April averages hover around 17°C amid variable southerly to northwesterly flows. Northwesterlies often boost temperatures via downslope warming, but incoming showers and wind could cap peaks below 20°C. Updated model guidance expected Thursday may refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on Wellington International Airport observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wellington on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 17?
18°C 41%
19°C 33%
17°C 19%
20°C 9%
$10,523 Vol.
$10,523 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
19%
18°C
37%
19°C
33%
20°C
9%
21°C or higher
2%
18°C 41%
19°C 33%
17°C 19%
20°C 9%
$10,523 Vol.
$10,523 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
19%
18°C
37%
19°C
33%
20°C
9%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast for Wellington Central pegs the April 17 maximum temperature at 18°C under fine conditions turning to morning showers with strengthening northwesterlies rising to gale force in the afternoon, anchoring trader sentiment with 43% implied probability on that outcome and 30% on 19°C. Recent mild autumn weather, including today's 18°C high amid northerlies, aligns with this outlook, while historical April averages hover around 17°C amid variable southerly to northwesterly flows. Northwesterlies often boost temperatures via downslope warming, but incoming showers and wind could cap peaks below 20°C. Updated model guidance expected Thursday may refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on Wellington International Airport observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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