MetService's latest forecast indicates a maximum temperature of 17°C at Wellington on April 16 under conditions of early morning rain clearing to fine weather with strong westerlies, potentially capping highs after today's projected 18°C amid northerly flows. However, trader consensus—reflected in 42.5% implied probability for 18°C—draws from recent observational data showing yesterday's 17.1°C peak at Kelburn station and persistent mild autumn patterns, with Wellington International Airport (NZWN) readings often varying due to coastal exposure and wind shear effects. Lower odds for 19°C (14%) and below highlight model uncertainty in short-range predictions, as ensemble guidance diverges amid post-Cyclone Vaianu settling. Hourly airport observations will resolve the market tomorrow.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wellington le 16 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Wellington le 16 avril ?
18°C 42%
17°C 18%
19°C 15%
16°C 11.9%
NOUVEAU
$14,684 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,684 Vol.
16 avr. 2026
11°C ou moins
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
18%
18°C
42%
19°C
15%
20°C
3%
21°C ou plus
2%
18°C 42%
17°C 18%
19°C 15%
16°C 11.9%
NOUVEAU
$14,684 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,684 Vol.
16 avr. 2026
11°C ou moins
$3,383 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,046 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$830 Vol.
1%
14°C
$966 Vol.
1%
15°C
$2,107 Vol.
2%
16°C
$2,320 Vol.
12%
17°C
$1,415 Vol.
18%
18°C
$658 Vol.
42%
19°C
$951 Vol.
15%
20°C
$582 Vol.
3%
21°C ou plus
$433 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast indicates a maximum temperature of 17°C at Wellington on April 16 under conditions of early morning rain clearing to fine weather with strong westerlies, potentially capping highs after today's projected 18°C amid northerly flows. However, trader consensus—reflected in 42.5% implied probability for 18°C—draws from recent observational data showing yesterday's 17.1°C peak at Kelburn station and persistent mild autumn patterns, with Wellington International Airport (NZWN) readings often varying due to coastal exposure and wind shear effects. Lower odds for 19°C (14%) and below highlight model uncertainty in short-range predictions, as ensemble guidance diverges amid post-Cyclone Vaianu settling. Hourly airport observations will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$14,684Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast indicates a maximum temperature of 17°C at Wellington on April 16 under conditions of early morning rain clearing to fine weather with strong westerlies, potentially capping highs after today's projected 18°C amid northerly flows. However, trader consensus—reflected in 42.5% implied probability for 18°C—draws from recent observational data showing yesterday's 17.1°C peak at Kelburn station and persistent mild autumn patterns, with Wellington International Airport (NZWN) readings often varying due to coastal exposure and wind shear effects. Lower odds for 19°C (14%) and below highlight model uncertainty in short-range predictions, as ensemble guidance diverges amid post-Cyclone Vaianu settling. Hourly airport observations will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,684Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast indicates a maximum temperature of 17°C at Wellington on April 16 under conditions of early morning rain clearing to fine weather with strong westerlies, potentially capping highs after today's projected 18°C amid northerly flows. However, trader consensus—reflected in 42.5% implied probability for 18°C—draws from recent observational data showing yesterday's 17.1°C peak at Kelburn station and persistent mild autumn patterns, with Wellington International Airport (NZWN) readings often varying due to coastal exposure and wind shear effects. Lower odds for 19°C (14%) and below highlight model uncertainty in short-range predictions, as ensemble guidance diverges amid post-Cyclone Vaianu settling. Hourly airport observations will resolve the market tomorrow.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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