Incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy's term limit has opened a crowded Alaska gubernatorial race featuring 18 candidates, with the nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 determining ranked-choice general election matchups on November 3. Recent Alaska Survey Research polling (March 19-22) shows Democrat Tom Begich leading the primary at 19.4% over Republican Bernadette Wilson's 13.6%, Dave Bronson at 9.9%, and Matt Claman at 9.7%, yet traders imply Wilson as narrow favorite to win outright at 30.5% versus Begich's 25.5%, citing her top GOP fundraising ($306,000 early reports), Kenai straw poll dominance among Republicans, and conservative alignment amid a fragmented field. Treg Taylor (former AG) at 14.4% and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom at 12.3% trail closely; endorsements from Dunleavy or Sen. Sullivan, forum performances, or RCV repeal ballot momentum could consolidate support and create separation in this tight contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाबर्नाडेट विल्सन 31%
टॉम बेगिच 26%
ट्रेग टेलर 14.5%
नैन्सी डालस्ट्रॉम 12.3%
$822,238 वॉल्यूम
$822,238 वॉल्यूम
बर्नाडेट विल्सन
31%
टॉम बेगिच
26%
ट्रेग टेलर
14%
नैन्सी डालस्ट्रॉम
12%
जोनाथन क्राइस-टॉम्किन्स
4%
डेविड ब्रॉन्सन
3%
क्लिक बिशप
2%
मैट क्लैमन
1%
एडम क्रुम
<1%
लिसा मर्कोव्स्की
<1%
मैरी पेलटोला
<1%
एडना डीव्रीज़
<1%
शेली ह्यूज
<1%
हांक क्रोल
<1%
मैट हीलाला
<1%
जेम्स पार्किन
<1%
ब्रूस वॉल्डेन
<1%
बर्नाडेट विल्सन 31%
टॉम बेगिच 26%
ट्रेग टेलर 14.5%
नैन्सी डालस्ट्रॉम 12.3%
$822,238 वॉल्यूम
$822,238 वॉल्यूम
बर्नाडेट विल्सन
31%
टॉम बेगिच
26%
ट्रेग टेलर
14%
नैन्सी डालस्ट्रॉम
12%
जोनाथन क्राइस-टॉम्किन्स
4%
डेविड ब्रॉन्सन
3%
क्लिक बिशप
2%
मैट क्लैमन
1%
एडम क्रुम
<1%
लिसा मर्कोव्स्की
<1%
मैरी पेलटोला
<1%
एडना डीव्रीज़
<1%
शेली ह्यूज
<1%
हांक क्रोल
<1%
मैट हीलाला
<1%
जेम्स पार्किन
<1%
ब्रूस वॉल्डेन
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy's term limit has opened a crowded Alaska gubernatorial race featuring 18 candidates, with the nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 determining ranked-choice general election matchups on November 3. Recent Alaska Survey Research polling (March 19-22) shows Democrat Tom Begich leading the primary at 19.4% over Republican Bernadette Wilson's 13.6%, Dave Bronson at 9.9%, and Matt Claman at 9.7%, yet traders imply Wilson as narrow favorite to win outright at 30.5% versus Begich's 25.5%, citing her top GOP fundraising ($306,000 early reports), Kenai straw poll dominance among Republicans, and conservative alignment amid a fragmented field. Treg Taylor (former AG) at 14.4% and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom at 12.3% trail closely; endorsements from Dunleavy or Sen. Sullivan, forum performances, or RCV repeal ballot momentum could consolidate support and create separation in this tight contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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