Trader consensus strongly favors Democrats at 93.5% to retain Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat after incumbent Tina Smith's 2025 retirement announcement, reflecting consistent polling leads in February Emerson College surveys where Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan topped broadcaster Michele Tafoya 47%-41% and Rep. Angie Craig led 47%-40%, alongside Democratic fundraising dominance—Craig's recent cash-on-hand edge exceeding $3.7 million versus Republicans' sub-$1 million hauls. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic given the state's left-leaning partisan lean and strong primary contenders like Flanagan and Craig, with no major developments shifting dynamics in recent weeks ahead of August 11 primaries. Realistic challenges include a divisive Democratic primary outcome, GOP unity behind a high-profile nominee, or a national midterm Republican wave, though barriers remain high.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$20,393 वॉल्यूम
$20,393 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेट
94%
रिपब्लिकन
6%
$20,393 वॉल्यूम
$20,393 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेट
$14,700 वॉल्यूम
94%
रिपब्लिकन
$5,693 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus strongly favors Democrats at 93.5% to retain Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat after incumbent Tina Smith's 2025 retirement announcement, reflecting consistent polling leads in February Emerson College surveys where Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan topped broadcaster Michele Tafoya 47%-41% and Rep. Angie Craig led 47%-40%, alongside Democratic fundraising dominance—Craig's recent cash-on-hand edge exceeding $3.7 million versus Republicans' sub-$1 million hauls. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic given the state's left-leaning partisan lean and strong primary contenders like Flanagan and Craig, with no major developments shifting dynamics in recent weeks ahead of August 11 primaries. Realistic challenges include a divisive Democratic primary outcome, GOP unity behind a high-profile nominee, or a national midterm Republican wave, though barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$20,393समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus strongly favors Democrats at 93.5% to retain Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat after incumbent Tina Smith's 2025 retirement announcement, reflecting consistent polling leads in February Emerson College surveys where Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan topped broadcaster Michele Tafoya 47%-41% and Rep. Angie Craig led 47%-40%, alongside Democratic fundraising dominance—Craig's recent cash-on-hand edge exceeding $3.7 million versus Republicans' sub-$1 million hauls. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic given the state's left-leaning partisan lean and strong primary contenders like Flanagan and Craig, with no major developments shifting dynamics in recent weeks ahead of August 11 primaries. Realistic challenges include a divisive Democratic primary outcome, GOP unity behind a high-profile nominee, or a national midterm Republican wave, though barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$20,393समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly favors Democrats at 93.5% to retain Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat after incumbent Tina Smith's 2025 retirement announcement, reflecting consistent polling leads in February Emerson College surveys where Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan topped broadcaster Michele Tafoya 47%-41% and Rep. Angie Craig led 47%-40%, alongside Democratic fundraising dominance—Craig's recent cash-on-hand edge exceeding $3.7 million versus Republicans' sub-$1 million hauls. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic given the state's left-leaning partisan lean and strong primary contenders like Flanagan and Craig, with no major developments shifting dynamics in recent weeks ahead of August 11 primaries. Realistic challenges include a divisive Democratic primary outcome, GOP unity behind a high-profile nominee, or a national midterm Republican wave, though barriers remain high.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न